Copa Paulista · Sep 27, 2025 21:00
XV de Piracicaba
PWR 67
Comercial
PWR 54
XV de Piracicaba
PWR 67
1 - 0
FT
Comercial
PWR 54
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: XV de Piracicaba to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (30%)
0-0 (25%)
2-0 (17%)
3-0 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
0-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista
Power & Form
Attack44
Defense87
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G0.4
Attack37
Defense74
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G0.8
XV de Piracica… Form
DWWWL
STABLE
Comercial Form
DWWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.516%
BTTS13%
Under 2.584%
XV de Pirac… Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Comercial Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.2
Over 3.53%
BTTS Yes17%
Home Clean Sheet68%
Away Clean Sheet46%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (31%)
1-0 (24%)
0-1 (12%)
1-1 (9%)
2-0 (9%)
2-1 (4%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
XV de Piracica…vs
0.20
ComercialDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
XV de Pirac…+4
Gap#5
Comercial
WR 69% 61 pts
WR 50% 27 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XV de Piracicaba | 26 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 33 | 10 | 61 |
| Comercial | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 12 | 27 |
XV de Piracica…
14.0%
| Sep 19 | XV de P… v Comerci… | 1-1 |
| Sep 13 | XV de P… v Oeste | 2-0 |
| Sep 06 | XV de P… v Oeste | 0-1 |
| Aug 30 | XV de P… v AEA | 2-0 |
| Aug 23 | XV de P… v AEA | 1-0 |
| Aug 16 | XV de P… v Paulist… | 1-0 |
| Aug 10 | XV de P… v Primave… | 0-2 |
| Aug 01 | XV de P… v GuaranĂ… | 1-0 |
| Jul 26 | XV de P… v Rio Bra… | 0-0 |
| Jul 18 | XV de P… v São Ber… | 2-1 |
Comercial
14.0%
| Sep 19 | Comerci… v XV de P… | 1-1 |
| Sep 13 | Comerci… v São Jos… | 0-1 |
| Sep 07 | Comerci… v São Jos… | 1-0 |
| Sep 02 | Comerci… v Inter D… | 1-0 |
| Aug 26 | Comerci… v Inter D… | 1-0 |
| Aug 16 | Comerci… v União S… | 1-0 |
| Aug 11 | Comerci… v Inter D… | 2-2 |
| Aug 06 | Comerci… v Botafogo | 0-2 |
| Jul 26 | Comerci… v Jataien… | 4-2 |
| Jul 19 | Comerci… v Maracan… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 19, 2025 | Comercial | 1-1 | XV de Piracic… |
Key Factors
XV de Piracicaba in strong form (3W in last 5)
Comercial in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.