Copa do Nordeste · Sep 06, 2025 20:30

Bastia
PWR 28

Confiança
PWR 21

Bastia
PWR 28
5 - 0
FT

Confiança
PWR 21
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
Bastia Win
Prediction
4-0
Score
37%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%)
0-0 (16%)
2-0 (12%)
1-1 (12%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 5-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 37%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (22.9%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/1 rules)
Power & Form
Attack17
Defense64
Goals/G0.6
Conc/G1.2
Attack18
Defense21
Goals/G0.5
Conc/G2.3
Bastia Form
WLLWW
STABLE
Confiança Form
LLWWW
DOWN
Key Players
Bastia
Jeremy Sebas
6.53G
Felix Tomi
6.62G1A
Amine Boutrah
7.01G
Dominique Guidi
7.11G
Tom Ducrocq
6.91G
Confiança
No player data
Score & Markets
Over 2.528%
BTTS33%
Under 2.572%
Bastia Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Confiança Goals
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 1.5 | 28% | 73% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.0
Over 3.52%
BTTS Yes16%
Home Clean Sheet53%
Away Clean Sheet67%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (36%)
0-1 (23%)
1-0 (14%)
1-1 (9%)
0-2 (7%)
2-0 (3%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Bastiavs
0.61
ConfiançaDecision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Bastia+7
Gap#8
Confiança
WR 64% 21 pts
WR 25% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastia | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 21 |
| Confiança | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 4 |
Bastia
12.0%
| Sep 04 | Bastia v Confian… | 1-4 |
| Aug 31 | Bastia v Mirassol | 5-1 |
| Aug 30 | Bastia v Guingamp | 1-3 |
| Aug 28 | Bastia v Flumine… | 1-0 |
| Aug 24 | Bastia v Santos | 2-0 |
| Aug 22 | Bastia v Lens | 1-0 |
| Aug 21 | Bastia v Ceará | 1-0 |
| Aug 17 | Bastia v Corinth… | 1-2 |
| Aug 15 | Bastia v Pau FC | 1-1 |
| Aug 12 | Bastia v Cuiaba … | 2-1 |
Confiança
12.0%
| Sep 04 | Confian… v Atlétic… | 0-1 |
| Sep 04 | Confian… v Bastia | 1-4 |
| Aug 31 | Confian… v Serrano… | 2-3 |
| Aug 30 | Confian… v Retrô F… | 1-0 |
| Aug 28 | Confian… v Spartax | 4-2 |
| Aug 25 | Confian… v GuaranĂ… | 1-0 |
| Aug 23 | Confian… v São Pau… | 0-0 |
| Aug 21 | Confian… v CSA | 0-1 |
| Aug 17 | Confian… v Floresta | 1-0 |
| Aug 09 | Confian… v Ituano | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 04, 2025 | Confiança | 1-4 | Bastia |
Key Factors
Bastia in strong form (3W in last 5)
Confiança in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.