Copa do Nordeste · Sep 06, 2025 20:30

Bastia
PWR 28
5 - 0
FT

Confiança
PWR 21
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
Bastia Win
Prediction
4-0
Score
37%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (16%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 5-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 37%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (22.9%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/1 rules)
Power & Form
Attack17
Defense64
Goals/G0.6
Conc/G1.2
Attack18
Defense21
Goals/G0.5
Conc/G2.3
Bastia Form WLLWW
STABLE
Confiança Form LLWWW
DOWN
Key Players
Bastia
Jeremy Sebas 6.53G
Felix Tomi 6.62G1A
Amine Boutrah 7.01G
Dominique Guidi 7.11G
Tom Ducrocq 6.91G
Confiança No player data
Score & Markets
Over 2.528%
BTTS33%
Under 2.572%
Bastia Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Confiança Goals
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 64% 36% -
1.5 28% 73% UNDER
2.5 9% 91% UNDER
3.5 2% 98% UNDER
4.5 0% 100% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total1.0
Over 3.52%
BTTS Yes16%
Home Clean Sheet53%
Away Clean Sheet67%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (36%) 0-1 (23%) 1-0 (14%) 1-1 (9%) 0-2 (7%) 2-0 (3%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Bastia
vs
0.61
Confiança
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Bastia
+7
Gap
#8
Confiança
WR 64% 21 pts WR 25% 4 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Bastia11704231921
Confiança4112294
Bastia 12.0%
Sep 04 Bastia v Confian… 1-4
Aug 31 Bastia v Mirassol 5-1
Aug 30 Bastia v Guingamp 1-3
Aug 28 Bastia v Flumine… 1-0
Aug 24 Bastia v Santos 2-0
Aug 22 Bastia v Lens 1-0
Aug 21 Bastia v Ceará 1-0
Aug 17 Bastia v Corinth… 1-2
Aug 15 Bastia v Pau FC 1-1
Aug 12 Bastia v Cuiaba … 2-1
Confiança 12.0%
Sep 04 Confian… v Atlétic… 0-1
Sep 04 Confian… v Bastia 1-4
Aug 31 Confian… v Serrano… 2-3
Aug 30 Confian… v Retrô F… 1-0
Aug 28 Confian… v Spartax 4-2
Aug 25 Confian… v Guaraní… 1-0
Aug 23 Confian… v São Pau… 0-0
Aug 21 Confian… v CSA 0-1
Aug 17 Confian… v Floresta 1-0
Aug 09 Confian… v Ituano 1-2
Head-to-Head (1)
Sep 04, 2025 Confiança 1-4 Bastia
Key Factors
Bastia in strong form (3W in last 5)
Confiança in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.