Copa do Nordeste · Aug 21, 2025 00:30
Bastia
PWR 28
Ceará
PWR 47
Bastia
PWR 28
1 - 0
FT
Ceará
PWR 47
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
Bastia Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (6%)
3-2 (5%)
2-1 (5%)
3-0 (4%)
2-2 (4%)
2-0 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.9%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack17
Defense64
Goals/G0.6
Conc/G1.2
Attack26
Defense65
Goals/G0.8
Conc/G1.0
Bastia Form
WDLDL
STABLE
Ceará Form
WLDWL
STABLE
Key Players
Bastia
Jeremy Sebas
6.53G
Felix Tomi
6.62G1A
Amine Boutrah
7.01G
Dominique Guidi
7.11G
Tom Ducrocq
6.91G
Ceará
No player data
Score & Markets
Over 2.569%
BTTS77%
Under 2.531%
Bastia Goals
0
2%
1
7%
2
15%
3
19%
4
20%
Ceará Goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 2.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.6
Over 3.58%
BTTS Yes21%
Home Clean Sheet30%
Away Clean Sheet70%
Top Correct Scores:
0-1 (25%)
0-0 (21%)
0-2 (15%)
1-1 (9%)
1-0 (7%)
0-3 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.02
Bastiavs
1.53
CearáDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Bastia+4
Gap#5
Ceará
WR 64% 21 pts
WR 50% 6 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastia | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 21 |
| Ceará | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
Bastia
8.0%
| Aug 17 | Bastia v Corinth… | 1-2 |
| Aug 15 | Bastia v Pau FC | 1-1 |
| Aug 12 | Bastia v Cuiaba … | 2-1 |
| Aug 10 | Bastia v Flumine… | 3-3 |
| Aug 06 | Bastia v RB Brag… | 1-4 |
| Aug 06 | Bastia v Retrô F… | 0-0 |
| Aug 02 | Bastia v Sport R… | 0-0 |
| Jul 30 | Bastia v Retrô F… | 3-2 |
| Jul 29 | Bastia v Remo | 3-0 |
| Jul 27 | Bastia v Juventu… | 3-0 |
Ceará
10.0%
| Aug 16 | Ceará v RB Brag… | 1-0 |
| Aug 10 | Ceará v Palmeir… | 2-1 |
| Aug 03 | Ceará v Flamengo | 1-1 |
| Jul 27 | Ceará v Cruzeiro | 1-2 |
| Jul 23 | Ceará v Mirassol | 0-2 |
| Jul 20 | Ceará v Interna… | 1-0 |
| Jul 16 | Ceará v Corinth… | 0-1 |
| Jul 13 | Ceará v Fortale… | 0-1 |
| Jun 04 | Ceará v Botafogo | 3-2 |
| Jun 01 | Ceará v Atletic… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Apr 21, 2025 | Bastia | 1-0 | Ceará |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.