Community Shield · Aug 10, 2025 14:00
Crystal Palace
PWR 33
Liverpool
PWR 38
Crystal Palace
PWR 33
2 - 2
FT
Liverpool
PWR 38
57% H
23% D
20% A
Final Verdict
PRO: Crystal Palace to win (71% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
71%
Confidence
PRO
Match Analyzer PRO
Match Analyzer PRO
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (11%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (6%)
2-1 (5%)
1-0 (4%)
1-1 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense64
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.2
Attack49
Defense59
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.4
Crystal Palace Form
DWWWD
STABLE
Liverpool Form
DLDLW
STABLE
Key Players
Crystal Palace
Jean-Philippe Mat…
6.77G
IsmaĂŻla Sarr
7.04G1A
YĂ©remy Pino
7.03G2A
Daniel Muñoz
6.93G1A
Marc Guéhi
7.22G2A
Liverpool
Hugo Ekitiké
7.38G1A
Florian Wirtz
7.04G2A
Mohamed Salah
6.73G3A
Cody Gakpo
7.04G1A
Dominik Szoboszlai
7.33G2A
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS43%
Under 2.538%
Crystal Pal… Goals
0
2%
1
7%
2
14%
3
19%
4
20%
Liverpool Goals
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 69% | 32% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 4.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.5
Over 3.547%
BTTS Yes61%
Home Clean Sheet9%
Away Clean Sheet33%
Top Correct Scores:
1-2 (10%)
0-2 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
1-3 (8%)
0-1 (7%)
0-3 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.05
Crystal Palacevs
0.57
LiverpoolDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#1
Crystal Pal…+1
Gap#2
Liverpool
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Liverpool | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Crystal Palace
16.0%
| May 25 | Crystal… v Liverpo… | 1-1 |
| May 20 | Crystal… v Wolverh… | 4-2 |
| May 17 | Crystal… v Manches… | 1-0 |
| May 11 | Crystal… v Tottenh… | 0-2 |
| May 05 | Crystal… v Notting… | 1-1 |
| Apr 26 | Crystal… v Aston V… | 3-0 |
| Apr 23 | Crystal… v Arsenal | 2-2 |
| Apr 19 | Crystal… v Bournem… | 0-0 |
| Apr 16 | Crystal… v Newcast… | 5-0 |
| Apr 12 | Crystal… v Manches… | 5-2 |
Liverpool
8.0%
| May 25 | Liverpo… v Crystal… | 1-1 |
| May 19 | Liverpo… v Brighto… | 3-2 |
| May 11 | Liverpo… v Arsenal | 2-2 |
| May 04 | Liverpo… v Chelsea | 3-1 |
| Apr 27 | Liverpo… v Tottenh… | 5-1 |
| Apr 20 | Liverpo… v Leicest… | 0-1 |
| Apr 13 | Liverpo… v West Br… | 2-1 |
| Apr 06 | Liverpo… v Fulham | 3-2 |
| Apr 02 | Liverpo… v Everton | 1-0 |
| Mar 16 | Liverpo… v Newcast… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| May 25, 2025 | Liverpool | 1-1 | Crystal Palace |
| Oct 05, 2024 | Crystal Palace | 0-1 | Liverpool |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Liverpool | 0-1 | Crystal Palace |
| Dec 09, 2023 | Crystal Palace | 1-2 | Liverpool |
Key Factors
Crystal Palace in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.