Super Cup · Jul 31, 2025 19:45
Sporting CP
PWR 23
Benfica
PWR 83
Sporting CP
PWR 23
0 - 1
FT
Benfica
PWR 83
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
Sporting CP Win
Prediction
2-2
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
1-0 (6%)
1-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 4/9 draws (44%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.7%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack53
Defense13
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G2.5
Attack53
Defense100
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.0
Sporting CP Form
WWLWD
STABLE
Benfica Form
LLDDW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.566%
BTTS59%
Under 2.534%
Sporting CP Goals
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Benfica Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.8
Over 3.530%
BTTS Yes52%
Home Clean Sheet37%
Away Clean Sheet17%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (11%)
1-1 (11%)
2-0 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
0-0 (6%)
0-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.83
Sporting CPvs
0.98
BenficaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum91%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Sporting CP-2
Gap#1
Benfica
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 100% 6 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
Sporting CP
14.0%
| Jul 26 | Sportin… v Sport B… | 0-2 |
| Jul 20 | Sportin… v Alianza… | 3-0 |
| Jul 18 | Sportin… v Sarasot… | 2-0 |
| Jul 13 | Sportin… v Atletic… | 2-1 |
| Jul 05 | Sportin… v Ciencia… | 1-1 |
| Jun 29 | Sportin… v Comerci… | 2-0 |
| Jun 21 | Sportin… v Cultura… | 3-1 |
| Jun 15 | Sportin… v Deporti… | 3-2 |
| May 25 | Sportin… v Benfica | 1-3 |
| May 23 | Sportin… v Univers… | 2-0 |
Benfica
8.0%
| Jul 27 | Benfica v TransIN… | 1-5 |
| Jul 23 | Benfica v Žalgiri… | 1-0 |
| Jul 20 | Benfica v Académi… | 1-1 |
| Jun 27 | Benfica v Minija | 1-1 |
| Jun 22 | Benfica v FA Šiau… | 0-2 |
| Jun 17 | Benfica v Panevėž… | 2-1 |
| Jun 13 | Benfica v Hegelma… | 1-2 |
| Jun 01 | Benfica v Kauno Ž… | 1-1 |
| May 25 | Benfica v Sportin… | 1-3 |
| May 24 | Benfica v BFA | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| May 25, 2025 | Sporting CP | 1-3 | Benfica |
| May 10, 2025 | Benfica | 1-1 | Sporting CP |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Sporting CP | 1-1 | Benfica |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Sporting CP | 1-0 | Benfica |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Sporting CP | 2-1 | Benfica |
| Apr 02, 2024 | Benfica | 2-2 | Sporting CP |
| Feb 29, 2024 | Sporting CP | 2-1 | Benfica |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Benfica | 2-1 | Sporting CP |
| May 21, 2023 | Sporting CP | 2-2 | Benfica |
Key Factors
Sporting CP in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.