CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Sep 24, 2025 22:00
Atletico-MG
PWR 77
BolĂvar
PWR 23
Atletico-MG
PWR 77
1 - 0
FT
BolĂvar
PWR 23
25% H
29% D
46% A
Final Verdict
BolĂvar Win
Prediction
2-0
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (11%)
1-2 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
0-1 (7%)
1-0 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_FORM_DOMINANT
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense100
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense65
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G1.0
Atletico-MG Form
LDLLL
STABLE
BolĂvar Form
WWWDD
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS62%
Under 2.541%
Atletico-MG Goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
BolĂvar Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 92% | 9% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 78% | 23% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 4.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 5.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total4.1
Over 3.558%
BTTS Yes74%
Home Clean Sheet9%
Away Clean Sheet19%
Top Correct Scores:
1-2 (8%)
1-1 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
1-3 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
2-3 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Atletico-MGvs
1.61
BolĂvarDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#15
Atletico-MG+21
Gap#36
BolĂvar
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| BolĂvar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Atletico-MG
2.0%
| Sep 20 | Atletic… v Botafogo | 1-0 |
| Sep 14 | Atletic… v Santos | 1-1 |
| Sep 11 | Atletic… v Cruzeiro | 2-0 |
| Aug 31 | Atletic… v Vitoria | 1-0 |
| Aug 27 | Atletic… v Cruzeiro | 0-2 |
| Aug 24 | Atletic… v São Pau… | 2-0 |
| Aug 17 | Atletic… v Remo | 1-3 |
| Aug 10 | Atletic… v Vasco D… | 1-1 |
| Aug 06 | Atletic… v Flamengo | 0-1 |
| Aug 03 | Atletic… v RB Brag… | 2-1 |
BolĂvar
16.0%
| Sep 20 | BolĂvar v ABB | 3-2 |
| Sep 13 | BolĂvar v Guabirá | 4-0 |
| Aug 28 | BolĂvar v The Str… | 1-0 |
| Aug 24 | BolĂvar v Jorge W… | 2-2 |
| Aug 16 | BolĂvar v Blooming | 1-1 |
| Aug 10 | BolĂvar v Real To… | 5-0 |
| Aug 06 | BolĂvar v San Ant… | 0-1 |
| Aug 02 | BolĂvar v Real Or… | 3-1 |
| Jul 19 | BolĂvar v Oriente… | 1-0 |
| Jul 10 | BolĂvar v Naciona… | 2-1 |
Key Factors
BolĂvar in strong form (3W in last 5)
Atletico-MG struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.