CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Sep 26, 2025 00:30
Universidad CatĂłlica
PWR 56
Alianza Lima
PWR 23
Universidad CatĂłlica
PWR 56
2 - 1
FT
Alianza Lima
PWR 23
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
Universidad CatĂłlica Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
68%
Confidence
GOLD
Stability GOLD
Stability GOLD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (23%)
0-0 (20%)
2-0 (13%)
1-1 (11%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 68%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy73%
FORM_MOMENTUMPOSITION_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Consider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.0%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack53
Defense65
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.0
Attack35
Defense30
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.0
Universidad Ca… Form
WWDWW
STABLE
Alianza Lima Form
WLDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.522%
BTTS25%
Under 2.578%
Universidad… Goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Alianza Lima Goals
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 2.5 | 32% | 69% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.0
Over 3.514%
BTTS Yes37%
Home Clean Sheet29%
Away Clean Sheet48%
Top Correct Scores:
0-1 (17%)
0-0 (14%)
1-1 (13%)
1-0 (11%)
0-2 (10%)
1-2 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Universidad Ca…vs
0.47
Alianza LimaDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Universidad…+27
Gap#32
Alianza Lima
WR 50% 4 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad Cat… | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Universidad Ca…
18.0%
| Sep 14 | Univers… v Colo-Co… | 0-3 |
| Sep 13 | Univers… v Deporte… | 0-1 |
| Sep 12 | Univers… v Santiag… | 0-0 |
| Sep 06 | Univers… v Rangers… | 0-1 |
| Sep 01 | Univers… v Recoleta | 1-0 |
| Aug 31 | Univers… v Colo-Co… | 1-0 |
| Aug 30 | Univers… v Cobresal | 2-1 |
| Aug 24 | Univers… v Concepc… | 1-4 |
| Aug 24 | Univers… v Unión E… | 2-0 |
| Aug 17 | Univers… v A. Ital… | 1-3 |
Alianza Lima
14.0%
| Sep 22 | Alianza… v Comerci… | 4-0 |
| Sep 14 | Alianza… v Deporti… | 3-4 |
| Aug 24 | Alianza… v Univers… | 0-0 |
| Aug 17 | Alianza… v ADT | 3-1 |
| Aug 09 | Alianza… v Ayacuch… | 0-1 |
| Aug 06 | Alianza… v Sportin… | 0-0 |
| Aug 01 | Alianza… v Juan Pa… | 1-2 |
| Jul 27 | Alianza… v Alianza… | 1-1 |
| Jul 19 | Alianza… v Cusco | 2-0 |
| Jul 12 | Alianza… v UTC | 0-0 |
Key Factors
Universidad CatĂłlica in strong form (4W in last 5)
Alianza Lima in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.