Paraibano 2 · Sep 29, 2025 23:00
Atlético Alagoinhas
PWR 62
Guarabira
PWR 54
PWR 54
2 - 2
FT
Atlético Alagoinhas
PWR 62
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
Atlético Alagoinhas Win
Prediction
2-3
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (16%)
2-0 (13%)
1-1 (11%)
0-0 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
0-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.9%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack64
Defense53
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G1.3
Attack78
Defense54
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G1.3
Guarabira Form
WLDWD
STABLE
Atlético Alago… Form
WLWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.538%
BTTS40%
Under 2.562%
Guarabira Goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Atlético Al… Goals
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 3.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.3
Over 3.541%
BTTS Yes63%
Home Clean Sheet25%
Away Clean Sheet15%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
1-0 (7%)
1-2 (7%)
2-0 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Guarabiravs
0.70
Atlético Alago…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Guarabira-2
Gap#1
Atlético Al…
WR 42% 20 pts
WR 54% 24 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarabira | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 20 |
| Atlético Alagoi… | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 24 |
Guarabira
12.0%
| Sep 25 | Guarabi… v Miramar | 1-4 |
| Sep 21 | Guarabi… v Cruzeiro | 2-1 |
| Sep 17 | Guarabi… v Confian… | 0-0 |
| Sep 14 | Guarabi… v Sabugy | 2-0 |
| Sep 11 | Guarabi… v Miramar | 1-1 |
| Sep 08 | Guarabi… v Serrano… | 1-2 |
| Sep 04 | Guarabi… v Spartax | 2-2 |
| Aug 31 | Guarabi… v São Pau… | 2-1 |
| Aug 28 | Guarabi… v Atlétic… | 2-3 |
| Aug 24 | Guarabi… v Queimad… | 1-2 |
Atlético Alago…
16.0%
| Sep 27 | Atlétic… v América… | 2-0 |
| Sep 21 | Atlétic… v São Pau… | 3-0 |
| Sep 20 | Atlétic… v Flamengo | 2-0 |
| Sep 18 | Atlétic… v Miramar | 2-0 |
| Sep 15 | Atlétic… v Frei Pa… | 0-1 |
| Sep 14 | Atlétic… v Queimad… | 3-0 |
| Sep 11 | Atlétic… v Serrano… | 3-3 |
| Sep 07 | Atlétic… v Cruzeiro | 3-0 |
| Sep 04 | Atlétic… v Confian… | 0-1 |
| Sep 01 | Atlétic… v Spartax | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Aug 28, 2025 | Atlético Alag… | 2-3 | Guarabira |
Key Factors
Atlético Alagoinhas in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.