Carioca B2 · Nov 09, 2025 18:00
SE Belford Roxo
PWR 72
2 - 0
FT
Serra Macaense
PWR 49
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: SE Belford Roxo to win (81% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
81%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (2%) 1-0 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Carioca
Power & Form
Attack74
Defense78
Goals/G2.1
Conc/G0.6
Attack39
Defense69
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G0.9
SE Belford Roxo Form DWDLW
STABLE
Serra Macaense Form WWWDD
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS55%
Under 2.540%
SE Belford … Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Serra Macae… Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 96% 4% OVER
1.5 83% 18% OVER
2.5 61% 39% -
3.5 39% 61% -
4.5 21% 79% UNDER
5.5 10% 90% UNDER
6.5 4% 96% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total3.2
Over 3.539%
BTTS Yes33%
Home Clean Sheet65%
Away Clean Sheet7%
Top Correct Scores:
2-0 (16%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (12%) 4-0 (10%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
SE Belford Roxo
vs
0.81
Serra Macaense
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
SE Belford …
+2
Gap
#4
Serra Macae…
WR 63% 17 pts WR 38% 13 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
SE Belford Roxo852117517
Serra Macaense83419713
SE Belford Roxo 12.0%
Nov 02 SE Belf… v Macapá 0-0
Oct 26 SE Belf… v Rio de … 4-0
Oct 19 SE Belf… v Goytacaz 1-1
Oct 12 SE Belf… v Santa C… 2-3
Oct 06 SE Belf… v Paraty 0-1
Sep 28 SE Belf… v Barra M… 4-1
Sep 21 SE Belf… v 7 de Ab… 0-3
Serra Macaense 16.0%
Nov 06 Serra M… v Macapá 2-1
Nov 02 Serra M… v Rio de … 0-2
Oct 26 Serra M… v Goytacaz 1-0
Oct 19 Serra M… v Santa C… 0-0
Oct 12 Serra M… v Paraty 2-2
Oct 11 Serra M… v Boston … 0-1
Oct 05 Serra M… v Coimbra 6-1
Oct 05 Serra M… v Barra M… 1-1
Sep 28 Serra M… v 7 de Ab… 1-1
Sep 27 Serra M… v Tupi 2-2
Key Factors
Serra Macaense in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.