Alagoano - 2 · Oct 18, 2025 19:00
Guaraní Alagoano
PWR 74
2 - 2
FT

Cruzeiro Arapiraca
PWR 65
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Guaraní Alagoano to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (34%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (13%) 0-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Power & Form
Attack70
Defense78
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G0.6
Attack60
Defense71
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Guaraní Alagoa… Form LDWWW
STABLE
Cruzeiro Arapi… Form WWDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.59%
BTTS11%
Under 2.591%
Guaraní Ala… Goals
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Cruzeiro Ar… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 97% 3% OVER
1.5 87% 13% OVER
2.5 69% 31% OVER
3.5 48% 52% -
4.5 29% 71% UNDER
5.5 15% 85% UNDER
6.5 7% 93% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total3.6
Over 3.548%
BTTS Yes34%
Home Clean Sheet64%
Away Clean Sheet4%
Top Correct Scores:
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (14%) 4-0 (11%) 1-0 (9%) 5-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Guaraní Alagoa…
vs
0.20
Cruzeiro Arapi…
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum70%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Guaraní Ala…
+1
Gap
#2
Cruzeiro Ar…
WR 73% 26 pts WR 64% 24 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Guaraní Alagoano1182122726
Cruzeiro Arapir…1173119924
Guaraní Alagoa… 14.0%
Oct 12 Guaraní… v Cruzeir… 2-1
Oct 04 Guaraní… v Agrimaq 1-1
Sep 27 Guaraní… v Agrimaq 0-2
Sep 21 Guaraní… v Figueir… 1-4
Sep 17 Guaraní… v Cruzeir… 1-0
Sep 07 Guaraní… v Jacyobá 1-2
Aug 30 Guaraní… v Zumbi 2-0
Aug 23 Guaraní… v Agrimaq 0-3
Aug 17 Guaraní… v Aliança… 1-0
Aug 13 Guaraní… v Dimensã… 3-0
Cruzeiro Arapi… 14.0%
Oct 12 Cruzeir… v Guaraní… 2-1
Oct 06 Cruzeir… v Dimensã… 3-1
Sep 27 Cruzeir… v Dimensã… 1-1
Sep 21 Cruzeir… v Agrimaq 2-1
Sep 17 Cruzeir… v Guaraní… 1-0
Sep 07 Cruzeir… v Figueir… 2-0
Aug 30 Cruzeir… v Dimensã… 0-1
Aug 24 Cruzeir… v Aliança… 3-0
Aug 17 Cruzeir… v Jacyobá 3-2
Aug 13 Cruzeir… v Zumbi 0-0
Head-to-Head (2)
Oct 12, 2025 Cruzeiro Arap… 2-1 Guaraní Alago…
Sep 17, 2025 Guaraní Alago… 1-0 Cruzeiro Arap…
Key Factors
Guaraní Alagoano in strong form (3W in last 5)
Cruzeiro Arapiraca in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.