Goiano - 3 · Nov 09, 2025 18:30
Bom Jesus EC
PWR 85
PWR 85
1 - 0
FT
Pinheiros
PWR 77
PWR 77
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (22%)
0-1 (19%)
1-0 (15%)
1-1 (12%)
0-2 (8%)
1-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 5% = 35.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 2%, PPG diff 0.2
Power & Form
Attack91
Defense83
Goals/G2.6
Conc/G0.5
Attack76
Defense80
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.6
Bom Jesus EC Form
WWDWW
STABLE
Pinheiros Form
WWWWL
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.519%
BTTS27%
Under 2.581%
Bom Jesus EC Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
Pinheiros Goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 22% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.9
Over 3.533%
BTTS Yes49%
Home Clean Sheet44%
Away Clean Sheet13%
Top Correct Scores:
2-0 (12%)
1-0 (11%)
2-1 (10%)
1-1 (10%)
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
Bom Jesus ECvs
0.84
PinheirosDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Bom Jesus EC-1
Gap#1
Pinheiros
WR 80% 26 pts
WR 75% 28 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bom Jesus EC | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 5 | 26 |
| Pinheiros | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 7 | 28 |
Bom Jesus EC
18.0%
| Nov 02 | Bom Jes… v Itumbia… | 0-8 |
| Oct 26 | Bom Jes… v Pires d… | 1-4 |
| Oct 18 | Bom Jes… v America… | 1-1 |
| Oct 11 | Bom Jes… v Apareci… | 2-1 |
| Oct 03 | Bom Jes… v Guanaba… | 1-3 |
| Sep 27 | Bom Jes… v Rioverd… | 3-0 |
| Sep 21 | Bom Jes… v Santa H… | 1-3 |
| Sep 13 | Bom Jes… v Crixás … | 0-0 |
| Sep 06 | Bom Jes… v ABD FC | 1-0 |
Pinheiros
16.0%
| Nov 01 | Pinheir… v Apareci… | 1-2 |
| Oct 26 | Pinheir… v Guanaba… | 2-1 |
| Oct 18 | Pinheir… v ABD FC | 2-1 |
| Oct 11 | Pinheir… v Santa H… | 1-3 |
| Oct 05 | Pinheir… v Crixás … | 0-1 |
| Sep 28 | Pinheir… v ASEEV | 0-5 |
| Sep 21 | Pinheir… v Itumbia… | 3-0 |
| Sep 20 | Pinheir… v Desport… | 1-3 |
| Sep 15 | Pinheir… v Estrela… | 0-1 |
| Sep 14 | Pinheir… v Pires d… | 1-0 |
Key Factors
Bom Jesus EC in strong form (4W in last 5)
Pinheiros in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.