Primera D · Nov 28, 2023 20:00
Mercedes
PWR 29
Juventud Unida
PWR 50
Mercedes
PWR 29
0 - 4
FT
Juventud Unida
PWR 50
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
Mercedes Win
Prediction
1-2
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (28%)
0-1 (27%)
0-2 (13%)
1-0 (8%)
1-1 (8%)
0-3 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 0-4
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.3%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack23
Defense30
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G2.0
Attack70
Defense30
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G2.0
Mercedes Form
WLWDD
STABLE
Juventud Unida Form
LLDLW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.514%
BTTS16%
Under 2.586%
Mercedes Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Juventud Un… Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 4% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.2
Over 3.54%
BTTS Yes16%
Home Clean Sheet74%
Away Clean Sheet40%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (30%)
1-0 (27%)
2-0 (12%)
0-1 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
2-1 (4%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Mercedesvs
0.97
Juventud UnidaDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum41%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Mercedes-1
Gap#5
Juventud Un…
WR 33% 3 pts
WR 50% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercedes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| Juventud Unida | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Mercedes
12.0%
| Nov 20 | Mercedes v Deporti… | 0-2 |
| Nov 13 | Mercedes v Centro … | 0-2 |
| Jul 31 | Mercedes v Centro … | 1-4 |
| Mar 18 | Mercedes v Centro … | 1-1 |
| Aug 13 | Mercedes v Centro … | 0-0 |
| May 29 | Mercedes v Centro … | 2-0 |
Juventud Unida
6.0%
| Nov 24 | Juventu… v Argenti… | 0-4 |
| Aug 05 | Juventu… v Argenti… | 1-0 |
| Apr 22 | Juventu… v Argenti… | 1-1 |
| Aug 13 | Juventu… v Argenti… | 1-3 |
| May 28 | Juventu… v Argenti… | 1-2 |
| Oct 18 | Juventu… v Argenti… | 1-1 |
Key Factors
Juventud Unida struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.