FAI President's Cup · Feb 07, 2025 19:45

Shelbourne
PWR 0

Drogheda United
PWR 11

Shelbourne
PWR 0
2 - 0
FT

Drogheda United
PWR 11
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
33%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (24%)
0-0 (17%)
2-0 (17%)
1-1 (9%)
3-0 (8%)
0-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Limited data available (Tier 3)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 3/5 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense0
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense30
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G2.0
Shelbourne Form
WLDDW
STABLE
Drogheda United Form
WLDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.526%
BTTS24%
Under 2.574%
Shelbourne Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Drogheda Un… Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 82% | 19% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 2.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.7
Over 3.59%
BTTS Yes32%
Home Clean Sheet37%
Away Clean Sheet50%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (19%)
0-1 (19%)
1-0 (13%)
1-1 (13%)
0-2 (9%)
1-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Shelbournevs
0.38
Drogheda UnitedDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Shelbourne
12.0%
| Oct 25 | Shelbou… v Droghed… | 2-1 |
| Sep 20 | Shelbou… v Galway … | 1-0 |
| Aug 16 | Shelbou… v Galway … | 1-1 |
| Jul 04 | Shelbou… v Droghed… | 1-1 |
| Jun 28 | Shelbou… v Galway … | 2-0 |
| May 10 | Shelbou… v Droghed… | 1-1 |
| Apr 19 | Shelbou… v Galway … | 1-0 |
| Apr 05 | Shelbou… v Droghed… | 2-2 |
| Mar 04 | Shelbou… v Galway … | 1-0 |
| Nov 03 | Shelbou… v Droghed… | 2-4 |
Drogheda United
6.0%
| Nov 16 | Droghed… v Bray Wa… | 1-3 |
| Nov 10 | Droghed… v Kerry FC | 2-0 |
| Nov 01 | Droghed… v Dundalk | 0-0 |
| Oct 25 | Droghed… v Shelbou… | 2-1 |
| Oct 18 | Droghed… v Shamroc… | 0-1 |
| Oct 11 | Droghed… v Wexford | 0-0 |
| Oct 06 | Droghed… v Wexford | 3-2 |
| Sep 27 | Droghed… v Kerry FC | 2-1 |
| Sep 23 | Droghed… v Galway … | 0-0 |
| Sep 20 | Droghed… v Bohemia… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Oct 25, 2024 | Shelbourne | 2-1 | Drogheda Unit… |
| Jul 04, 2024 | Drogheda Unit… | 1-1 | Shelbourne |
| May 10, 2024 | Shelbourne | 1-1 | Drogheda Unit… |
| Apr 05, 2024 | Drogheda Unit… | 2-2 | Shelbourne |
| Nov 03, 2023 | Drogheda Unit… | 2-4 | Shelbourne |
Key Factors
Drogheda United struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.