FAI President's Cup · Feb 07, 2025 19:45

Shelbourne
PWR 0
2 - 0
FT

Drogheda United
PWR 11
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
33%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (24%) 0-0 (17%) 2-0 (17%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 0-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Limited data available (Tier 3)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 3/5 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense0
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense30
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G2.0
Shelbourne Form WLDDW
STABLE
Drogheda United Form WLDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.526%
BTTS24%
Under 2.574%
Shelbourne Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Drogheda Un… Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 82% 19% OVER
1.5 50% 50% -
2.5 24% 76% UNDER
3.5 9% 91% UNDER
4.5 3% 97% UNDER
5.5 1% 99% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total1.7
Over 3.59%
BTTS Yes32%
Home Clean Sheet37%
Away Clean Sheet50%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (19%) 0-1 (19%) 1-0 (13%) 1-1 (13%) 0-2 (9%) 1-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Shelbourne
vs
0.38
Drogheda United
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Shelbourne 12.0%
Oct 25 Shelbou… v Droghed… 2-1
Sep 20 Shelbou… v Galway … 1-0
Aug 16 Shelbou… v Galway … 1-1
Jul 04 Shelbou… v Droghed… 1-1
Jun 28 Shelbou… v Galway … 2-0
May 10 Shelbou… v Droghed… 1-1
Apr 19 Shelbou… v Galway … 1-0
Apr 05 Shelbou… v Droghed… 2-2
Mar 04 Shelbou… v Galway … 1-0
Nov 03 Shelbou… v Droghed… 2-4
Drogheda United 6.0%
Nov 16 Droghed… v Bray Wa… 1-3
Nov 10 Droghed… v Kerry FC 2-0
Nov 01 Droghed… v Dundalk 0-0
Oct 25 Droghed… v Shelbou… 2-1
Oct 18 Droghed… v Shamroc… 0-1
Oct 11 Droghed… v Wexford 0-0
Oct 06 Droghed… v Wexford 3-2
Sep 27 Droghed… v Kerry FC 2-1
Sep 23 Droghed… v Galway … 0-0
Sep 20 Droghed… v Bohemia… 0-1
Head-to-Head (5)
Oct 25, 2024 Shelbourne 2-1 Drogheda Unit…
Jul 04, 2024 Drogheda Unit… 1-1 Shelbourne
May 10, 2024 Shelbourne 1-1 Drogheda Unit…
Apr 05, 2024 Drogheda Unit… 2-2 Shelbourne
Nov 03, 2023 Drogheda Unit… 2-4 Shelbourne
Key Factors
Drogheda United struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.