Super Copa · Jan 31, 2024 23:30
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 56
Defensor Sporting
PWR 23
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 56
1 - 0
FT
Defensor Sporting
PWR 23
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
Peñarol Montevideo Win
Prediction
1-0
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (28%)
0-0 (21%)
2-0 (18%)
3-0 (8%)
1-1 (7%)
0-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.7%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack18
Defense100
Goals/G0.5
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense65
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G1.0
Peñarol Montev… Form
LWLDW
STABLE
Defensor Sport… Form
LLLLW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.521%
BTTS16%
Under 2.579%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Defensor Sp… Goals
0
79%
1
19%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 36% | 65% | - |
| 2.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.3
Over 3.54%
BTTS Yes17%
Home Clean Sheet71%
Away Clean Sheet40%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (29%)
1-0 (26%)
2-0 (12%)
0-1 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
2-1 (4%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Peñarol Montev…vs
0.24
Defensor Sport…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Peñarol Mon…+2
Gap#3
Defensor Sp…
WR 50% 4 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peñarol Montevi… | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Defensor Sporti… | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Peñarol Montev…
10.0%
| Dec 16 | Peñarol… v Peñarol… | 0-1 |
| Dec 13 | Peñarol… v Peñarol… | 2-0 |
| Dec 09 | Peñarol… v Peñarol… | 0-1 |
| Dec 06 | Peñarol… v Rangers… | 0-0 |
| Dec 06 | Peñarol… v River P… | 2-1 |
| Dec 03 | Peñarol… v Deporti… | 0-2 |
| Dec 02 | Peñarol… v Racing … | 1-1 |
| Nov 29 | Peñarol… v Boston … | 2-0 |
| Nov 28 | Peñarol… v Fenix | 0-1 |
| Nov 25 | Peñarol… v Plaza C… | 0-0 |
Defensor Sport…
4.0%
| Dec 07 | Defenso… v Danubio | 0-2 |
| Dec 04 | Defenso… v Club Na… | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Defenso… v River P… | 0-1 |
| Nov 25 | Defenso… v Deporti… | 2-1 |
| Nov 20 | Defenso… v Boston … | 2-0 |
| Nov 15 | Defenso… v Cerrito | 1-1 |
| Oct 21 | Defenso… v Cerro L… | 2-0 |
| Oct 13 | Defenso… v Atletic… | 2-0 |
| Aug 25 | Defenso… v Randers… | 3-0 |
| Jun 18 | Defenso… v Randers… | 2-0 |
Key Factors
Defensor Sporting struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.