Brisbane Premier League · Sep 07, 2024 08:30
Univ. Queensland
PWR 72
Univ. Queensland
PWR 72
4 - 1
FT
Virginia United
PWR 70
PWR 70
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (23%)
1-0 (18%)
0-1 (15%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (7%)
0-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 4-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 3% = 35.1% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 14%, PPG diff 0.3
Power & Form
Attack78
Defense61
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G1.1
Attack100
Defense34
Goals/G3.3
Conc/G1.9
Univ. Queensla… Form
LDWWW
STABLE
Virginia United Form
WWWWW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.519%
BTTS27%
Under 2.581%
Univ. Queen… Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Virginia Un… Goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 5.5 | 52% | 49% | - |
| 6.5 | 36% | 65% | - |
Goal Markets
xG Total5.8
Over 3.583%
BTTS Yes84%
Home Clean Sheet15%
Away Clean Sheet2%
Top Correct Scores:
3-1 (6%)
3-2 (6%)
4-1 (6%)
4-2 (5%)
2-1 (5%)
2-2 (4%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Univ. Queensla…vs
0.68
Virginia UnitedDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Univ. Queen…+1
Gap#2
Virginia Un…
WR 78% 22 pts
WR 75% 18 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Univ. Queensland | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 10 | 22 |
| Virginia United | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 18 |
Univ. Queensla…
14.0%
| Aug 30 | Univ. Q… v Springf… | 5-1 |
| Aug 24 | Univ. Q… v Centena… | 1-1 |
| Aug 10 | Univ. Q… v Newmark… | 1-0 |
| Aug 03 | Univ. Q… v Acacia … | 1-3 |
| Jul 20 | Univ. Q… v North B… | 4-0 |
| Jul 14 | Univ. Q… v Mt Grav… | 2-1 |
| Jul 06 | Univ. Q… v Western… | 2-1 |
Virginia United
20.0%
| Aug 30 | Virgini… v Redclif… | 2-6 |
| Aug 28 | Virgini… v Acacia … | 0-1 |
| Aug 24 | Virgini… v Newmark… | 2-1 |
| Aug 11 | Virgini… v North B… | 7-3 |
| Aug 03 | Virgini… v Mt Grav… | 0-2 |
| Jul 20 | Virgini… v Western… | 5-0 |
| Jul 06 | Virgini… v Brisban… | 2-5 |
Key Factors
Univ. Queensland in strong form (3W in last 5)
Virginia United in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.