Brisbane Premier League · Sep 06, 2024 10:30

Brisbane Knights
PWR 66
1 - 3
FT
Newmarket
PWR 60
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 4% = 35.1% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 4%, PPG diff 0.2
Power & Form
Attack100
Defense42
Goals/G3.4
Conc/G1.7
Attack74
Defense48
Goals/G2.1
Conc/G1.5
Brisbane Knigh… Form LWDWW
STABLE
Newmarket Form LWLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS54%
Under 2.535%
Brisbane Kn… Goals
0
5%
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Newmarket Goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 100% 0% OVER
1.5 99% 1% OVER
2.5 96% 4% OVER
3.5 89% 11% OVER
4.5 78% 22% OVER
5.5 63% 37% -
6.5 48% 52% -
Goal Markets
xG Total6.5
Over 3.589%
BTTS Yes92%
Home Clean Sheet5%
Away Clean Sheet3%
Top Correct Scores:
3-3 (5%) 3-2 (5%) 2-3 (4%) 4-3 (4%) 2-2 (4%) 4-2 (4%)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.02
Brisbane Knigh…
vs
0.84
Newmarket
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#4
Brisbane Kn…
-1
Gap
#3
Newmarket
WR 56% 16 pts WR 60% 18 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Brisbane Knights9513311516
Newmarket10604211518
Brisbane Knigh… 14.0%
Aug 29 Brisban… v North B… 3-0
Aug 23 Brisban… v Acacia … 8-0
Aug 09 Brisban… v Mt Grav… 2-2
Aug 03 Brisban… v Western… 0-5
Jul 21 Brisban… v Redclif… 5-2
Jul 12 Brisban… v Centena… 1-4
Jul 06 Brisban… v Virgini… 2-5
Jun 29 Brisban… v Newmark… 2-1
Nov 07 Brisban… v North S… 1-2
Newmarket 8.0%
Aug 24 Newmark… v Virgini… 2-1
Aug 17 Newmark… v North B… 3-1
Aug 10 Newmark… v Univ. Q… 1-0
Aug 04 Newmark… v Springf… 2-4
Jul 20 Newmark… v Centena… 4-2
Jul 13 Newmark… v Acacia … 0-4
Jul 06 Newmark… v North B… 2-1
Jun 29 Newmark… v Brisban… 2-1
Head-to-Head (1)
Jun 29, 2024 Newmarket 2-1 Brisbane Knig…
Key Factors
Brisbane Knights in strong form (3W in last 5)
Newmarket struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.