Second League - Play-offs · Jun 26, 2024 14:00
Haras El Hodood
PWR 61
Sporting Alexandria
PWR 41
PWR 41
1 - 2
FT
Haras El Hodood
PWR 61
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
Sporting Alexandria Win
Prediction
1-2
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (25%)
2-0 (22%)
0-0 (14%)
3-0 (13%)
1-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.0%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack29
Defense59
Goals/G0.8
Conc/G1.2
Attack47
Defense71
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G0.8
Sporting Alexa… Form
DWLDW
STABLE
Haras El Hodood Form
WLWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.530%
BTTS15%
Under 2.570%
Sporting Al… Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Haras El Ho… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 73% | 28% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 2.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.3
Over 3.54%
BTTS Yes21%
Home Clean Sheet61%
Away Clean Sheet46%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (28%)
1-0 (22%)
0-1 (14%)
1-1 (11%)
2-0 (9%)
2-1 (4%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Sporting Alexa…vs
0.20
Haras El HodoodDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum87%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Sporting Al…-2
Gap#1
Haras El Ho…
WR 33% 8 pts
WR 67% 13 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Alexan… | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
| Haras El Hodood | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
Sporting Alexa…
12.0%
| Jun 20 | Sportin… v Suez | 2-2 |
| Jun 12 | Sportin… v Tersana | 1-0 |
| Jun 07 | Sportin… v Tersana | 3-0 |
| Jun 02 | Sportin… v Haras E… | 0-0 |
| May 22 | Sportin… v Suez | 1-0 |
Haras El Hodood
14.0%
| Jun 20 | Haras E… v Tersana | 2-1 |
| Jun 12 | Haras E… v Suez | 1-0 |
| Jun 07 | Haras E… v Suez | 1-0 |
| Jun 02 | Haras E… v Sportin… | 0-0 |
| May 22 | Haras E… v Tersana | 2-3 |
| Jul 06 | Haras E… v Al-Masr… | 3-2 |
| Jul 01 | Haras E… v Al Itti… | 2-2 |
| May 24 | Haras E… v Al Assi… | 1-0 |
| May 04 | Haras E… v El Geish | 2-3 |
| Apr 13 | Haras E… v Zamalek… | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jun 02, 2024 | Haras El Hodo… | 0-0 | Sporting Alex… |
Key Factors
Haras El Hodood in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.