Copa Uruguay · Oct 17, 2025 00:00
Racing Club de Montevideo
PWR 29
Plaza Colonia
PWR 15
Racing Club de Montevideo
PWR 29
1 - 1
FT
Plaza Colonia
PWR 15
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
Racing Club de Montevideo Win
Prediction
1-0
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (30%)
0-0 (28%)
2-0 (16%)
1-1 (6%)
0-1 (6%)
3-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.8%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack18
Defense65
Goals/G0.5
Conc/G1.0
Attack12
Defense30
Goals/G0.3
Conc/G2.0
Racing Club de… Form
DLWDW
STABLE
Plaza Colonia Form
LWDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.514%
BTTS12%
Under 2.586%
Racing Club… Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Plaza Colon… Goals
0
81%
1
17%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 3.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 4.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.1
Over 3.537%
BTTS Yes41%
Home Clean Sheet56%
Away Clean Sheet8%
Top Correct Scores:
2-0 (14%)
3-0 (12%)
1-0 (12%)
2-1 (8%)
4-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Racing Club de…vs
0.21
Plaza ColoniaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#13
Racing Club…+3
Gap#16
Plaza Colon…
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Club de … | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Plaza Colonia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
Racing Club de…
12.0%
| Oct 11 | Racing … v Peñarol… | 2-2 |
| Oct 05 | Racing … v Plaza C… | 0-1 |
| Oct 03 | Racing … v Miramar | 3-0 |
| Sep 29 | Racing … v Progreso | 0-0 |
| Sep 21 | Racing … v River P… | 2-3 |
| Sep 13 | Racing … v Boston … | 0-0 |
| Sep 10 | Racing … v Boston … | 0-0 |
| Sep 07 | Racing … v Club Na… | 3-0 |
| Aug 31 | Racing … v Peñarol… | 1-4 |
| Aug 24 | Racing … v Atletic… | 4-0 |
Plaza Colonia
6.0%
| Oct 10 | Plaza C… v Progreso | 0-1 |
| Oct 05 | Plaza C… v Racing … | 0-1 |
| Sep 28 | Plaza C… v River P… | 1-1 |
| Sep 20 | Plaza C… v Boston … | 6-1 |
| Sep 14 | Plaza C… v Club Na… | 1-2 |
| Sep 06 | Plaza C… v Peñarol… | 1-0 |
| Aug 31 | Plaza C… v Atletic… | 2-4 |
| Aug 23 | Plaza C… v Defenso… | 1-0 |
| Aug 17 | Plaza C… v Cerrito | 0-2 |
| Aug 10 | Plaza C… v Rangers… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 05, 2025 | Racing Club d… | 0-1 | Plaza Colonia |
| Nov 28, 2023 | Plaza Colonia | 0-1 | Racing Club d… |
Key Factors
Plaza Colonia struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.