Copa Santa Catarina · Nov 09, 2025 20:00

MarcĂ­lio Dias
PWR 62
2 - 1
FT

Figueirense
PWR 58
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: MarcĂ­lio Dias to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 1-0 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 3/8 draws (38%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Power & Form
Attack82
Defense55
Goals/G2.4
Conc/G1.3
Attack63
Defense61
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G1.1
MarcĂ­lio Dias Form LDWWD
STABLE
Figueirense Form WWLDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS60%
Under 2.539%
Marcílio Di… Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Figueirense Goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 87% 13% OVER
1.5 61% 39% -
2.5 34% 66% UNDER
3.5 15% 85% UNDER
4.5 6% 94% UNDER
5.5 2% 98% UNDER
6.5 1% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.1
Over 3.516%
BTTS Yes26%
Home Clean Sheet68%
Away Clean Sheet19%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (18%) 0-0 (13%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
MarcĂ­lio Dias
vs
0.94
Figueirense
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#2
Marcílio Di…
-1
Gap
#1
Figueirense
WR 47% 30 pts WR 47% 32 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
MarcĂ­lio Dias17863402230
Figueirense19955342132
MarcĂ­lio Dias 12.0%
Nov 02 Marcíli… v Figueir… 3-0
Oct 25 Marcíli… v Santa C… 1-1
Oct 18 Marcíli… v Santa C… 3-2
Oct 12 Marcíli… v Barra 6-0
Oct 04 Marcíli… v Figueir… 2-2
Oct 01 Marcíli… v Avaí 1-5
Sep 22 Marcíli… v Avaí 3-0
Sep 15 Marcíli… v Figueir… 1-2
Sep 10 Marcíli… v Barra 0-6
Aug 09 Marcíli… v Inter D… 2-1
Figueirense 12.0%
Nov 02 Figueir… v Marcíli… 3-0
Oct 26 Figueir… v Chapeco… 2-0
Oct 22 Figueir… v Chapeco… 2-1
Oct 12 Figueir… v Avaí 1-1
Oct 04 Figueir… v Marcíli… 2-2
Oct 01 Figueir… v Barra 1-4
Sep 21 Figueir… v Guaraní… 1-4
Sep 21 Figueir… v Barra 2-1
Sep 15 Figueir… v Marcíli… 1-2
Sep 13 Figueir… v Dimensã… 3-0
Head-to-Head (8)
Nov 02, 2025 Figueirense 3-0 MarcĂ­lio Dias
Oct 04, 2025 Figueirense 2-2 MarcĂ­lio Dias
Sep 15, 2025 MarcĂ­lio Dias 1-2 Figueirense
Feb 22, 2025 MarcĂ­lio Dias 2-1 Figueirense
Oct 16, 2024 MarcĂ­lio Dias 0-0 Figueirense
Feb 22, 2024 MarcĂ­lio Dias 2-0 Figueirense
Oct 21, 2023 Figueirense 2-2 MarcĂ­lio Dias
Feb 09, 2023 Figueirense 2-1 MarcĂ­lio Dias
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.