HKFA 1st Division · Dec 28, 2025 05:30
Metro Gallery Sun Source
PWR 81
PWR 81
2 - 0
FT
Sham Shui Po
PWR 69
PWR 69
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (13%)
1-0 (10%)
0-1 (10%)
2-1 (8%)
1-2 (8%)
0-0 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 9%, PPG diff 0.2
Power & Form
Attack100
Defense55
Goals/G3.9
Conc/G1.3
Attack70
Defense65
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.0
Metro Gallery … Form
WWWWW
UP
Sham Shui Po Form
WWWWW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.547%
BTTS52%
Under 2.553%
Metro Galle… Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Sham Shui Po Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 4.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.6
Over 3.548%
BTTS Yes65%
Home Clean Sheet28%
Away Clean Sheet10%
Top Correct Scores:
2-1 (10%)
1-1 (8%)
2-0 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
1-0 (7%)
2-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Metro Gallery …vs
1.24
Sham Shui PoDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Metro Galle…+1
Gap#6
Sham Shui Po
WR 90% 27 pts
WR 73% 25 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metro Gallery S… | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 13 | 27 |
| Sham Shui Po | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 25 |
Metro Gallery …
20.0%
| Dec 21 | Metro G… v Kwun To… | 1-6 |
| Dec 07 | Metro G… v South C… | 0-4 |
| Nov 30 | Metro G… v Yuen Lo… | 3-2 |
| Nov 16 | Metro G… v Resourc… | 7-1 |
| Nov 02 | Metro G… v WSE | 2-3 |
| Oct 19 | Metro G… v Hoi King | 4-1 |
| Oct 12 | Metro G… v Tung Si… | 3-2 |
| Sep 28 | Metro G… v Central… | 1-5 |
| Sep 21 | Metro G… v 3 Sing | 3-2 |
Sham Shui Po
20.0%
| Dec 21 | Sham Sh… v Central… | 2-1 |
| Dec 14 | Sham Sh… v Shatin | 0-1 |
| Nov 30 | Sham Sh… v South C… | 1-0 |
| Nov 16 | Sham Sh… v Kwun To… | 0-2 |
| Nov 02 | Sham Sh… v 3 Sing | 0-1 |
| Oct 26 | Sham Sh… v Hoi King | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | Sham Sh… v Tung Si… | 0-2 |
| Oct 12 | Sham Sh… v Citizen… | 2-3 |
| Sep 28 | Sham Sh… v Yuen Lo… | 2-2 |
| Sep 21 | Sham Sh… v Lucky M… | 8-1 |
Key Factors
Metro Gallery Sun Source in strong form (5W in last 5)
Sham Shui Po in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.