Ligue 1 · Mar 23, 2025 15:00
Étoile du Congo Brazzaville
PWR 55
Diables Noirs
PWR 59
Étoile du Congo Brazzaville
PWR 55
3 - 0
FT
Diables Noirs
PWR 59
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Étoile du Congo Brazzaville to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%)
0-0 (18%)
1-1 (13%)
0-1 (12%)
2-0 (10%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 2% = 35.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Power & Form
Attack45
Defense69
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G0.9
Attack64
Defense59
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G1.2
Étoile du Cong… Form
WDWDW
STABLE
Diables Noirs Form
LLWWL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.525%
BTTS32%
Under 2.575%
Étoile du C… Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Diables Noi… Goals
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 3.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.6
Over 3.527%
BTTS Yes31%
Home Clean Sheet65%
Away Clean Sheet11%
Top Correct Scores:
2-0 (17%)
1-0 (16%)
3-0 (13%)
2-1 (8%)
0-0 (7%)
4-0 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Étoile du Cong…vs
0.68
Diables NoirsDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum64%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Étoile du C…-3
Gap#5
Diables Noi…
WR 50% 30 pts
WR 52% 50 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Étoile du Congo… | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 16 | 30 |
| Diables Noirs | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 34 | 50 |
Étoile du Cong…
16.0%
| Mar 14 | Étoile … v Club At… | 4-0 |
| Mar 07 | Étoile … v JS Tala… | 0-0 |
| Feb 26 | Étoile … v Peñarol… | 3-1 |
| Feb 09 | Étoile … v Inter C… | 1-1 |
| Jun 02 | Étoile … v Vegas | 3-0 |
| May 25 | Étoile … v Kondzo | 1-0 |
| Mar 31 | Étoile … v Inter C… | 0-1 |
| Jan 12 | Étoile … v Inter C… | 2-1 |
| Nov 12 | Étoile … v Vegas | 0-1 |
| Mar 10 | Étoile … v Inter C… | 1-0 |
Diables Noirs
8.0%
| Mar 16 | Diables… v Otôho d… | 0-1 |
| Mar 09 | Diables… v Patrona… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Diables… v Club At… | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Diables… v Kondzo | 3-0 |
| Feb 14 | Diables… v JS Tala… | 0-2 |
| May 31 | Diables… v Nouvell… | 4-0 |
| May 17 | Diables… v Vegas | 1-2 |
| May 05 | Diables… v Chemino… | 0-3 |
| Apr 27 | Diables… v JS Tala… | 0-3 |
| Mar 24 | Diables… v V.Club … | 1-2 |
Key Factors
Étoile du Congo Brazzaville in strong form (3W in last 5)
Diables Noirs struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.