FAI Cup · Oct 05, 2025 17:00

Shamrock Rovers
PWR 66
6 - 1
FT
Kerry FC
PWR 72
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
Shamrock Rovers Win
Prediction
3-3
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 6-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANT
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 4/8 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (33.8%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack76
Defense71
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.8
Attack78
Defense62
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G1.1
Shamrock Rovers Form LWWDD
STABLE
Kerry FC Form DDDDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS39%
Under 2.538%
Shamrock Ro… Goals
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Kerry FC Goals
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 96% 4% OVER
1.5 83% 17% OVER
2.5 62% 38% -
3.5 39% 61% -
4.5 22% 78% UNDER
5.5 10% 90% UNDER
6.5 4% 96% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total3.2
Over 3.539%
BTTS Yes61%
Home Clean Sheet28%
Away Clean Sheet15%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 1-2 (6%) 2-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.34
Shamrock Rovers
vs
0.52
Kerry FC
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Shamrock Ro…
-3
Gap
#1
Kerry FC
WR 50% 10 pts WR 77% 32 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Shamrock Rovers631213510
Kerry FC131021291432
Shamrock Rovers 12.0%
Oct 02 Shamroc… v Slavia … 4-1
Sep 26 Shamroc… v Bohemia… 2-1
Sep 22 Shamroc… v Wexford 1-2
Sep 19 Shamroc… v Cork Ci… 1-1
Sep 12 Shamroc… v Droghed… 1-1
Aug 31 Shamroc… v Droghed… 2-1
Aug 28 Shamroc… v Santa C… 0-0
Aug 21 Shamroc… v Santa C… 1-2
Aug 17 Shamroc… v Longfor… 2-1
Aug 14 Shamroc… v Ballkani 4-0
Kerry FC 8.0%
Sep 26 Kerry FC v Droghed… 1-1
Sep 26 Kerry FC v Treaty … 1-1
Sep 22 Kerry FC v Athlone… 0-0
Sep 19 Kerry FC v Melbour… 1-1
Sep 19 Kerry FC v UCD 2-1
Sep 12 Kerry FC v Bohemia… 3-4
Sep 12 Kerry FC v Sligo R… 4-3
Sep 05 Kerry FC v Cobh Ra… 1-1
Aug 29 Kerry FC v St Patr… 2-2
Aug 29 Kerry FC v Dundalk 3-3
Head-to-Head (8)
Aug 03, 2025 Shamrock Rove… 2-0 Kerry FC
May 23, 2025 Kerry FC 1-2 Shamrock Rove…
Mar 28, 2025 Shamrock Rove… 0-0 Kerry FC
Sep 20, 2024 Kerry FC 1-1 Shamrock Rove…
May 20, 2024 Shamrock Rove… 1-0 Kerry FC
Apr 19, 2024 Kerry FC 1-3 Shamrock Rove…
Mar 04, 2024 Shamrock Rove… 2-2 Kerry FC
Sep 15, 2023 Kerry FC 1-1 Shamrock Rove…
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.