World Cup - Qualification Oceania · Nov 17, 2024 06:00
Papua New Guinea
PWR 23
Solomon Islands
PWR 50
Papua New Guinea
PWR 23
1 - 2
FT
Solomon Islands
PWR 50
40% H
26% D
34% A
Final Verdict
Papua New Guinea Win
Prediction
2-2
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
3-2 (5%)
3-3 (4%)
2-2 (3%)
2-3 (3%)
3-1 (3%)
2-1 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.1%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack61
Defense4
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G2.8
Attack61
Defense39
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G1.8
Papua New Guin… Form
DLLL
STABLE
Solomon Islands Form
LLLDW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.570%
BTTS93%
Under 2.530%
Papua New G… Goals
0
2%
1
7%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Solomon Isl… Goals
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 5.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 19% | 82% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total4.6
Over 3.568%
BTTS Yes81%
Home Clean Sheet10%
Away Clean Sheet10%
Top Correct Scores:
2-2 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
1-2 (6%)
3-2 (6%)
1-1 (5%)
2-3 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.00
Papua New Guin…vs
2.87
Solomon IslandsDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum82%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Papua New G…-3
Gap#2
Solomon Isl…
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 50% 6 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Papua New Guinea | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 1 |
| Solomon Islands | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
Papua New Guin…
2.5%
| Nov 14 | Papua N… v Fiji | 3-3 |
| Oct 10 | Papua N… v New Cal… | 3-1 |
| Oct 08 | Papua N… v Solomon… | 1-3 |
| Mar 27 | Papua N… v Solomon… | 3-2 |
Solomon Islands
6.0%
| Nov 14 | Solomon… v New Cal… | 2-3 |
| Oct 10 | Solomon… v Fiji | 0-1 |
| Jun 18 | Solomon… v New Zea… | 3-0 |
| Dec 01 | Solomon… v New Cal… | 2-2 |
| Oct 14 | Solomon… v New Cal… | 1-0 |
| Oct 08 | Solomon… v Papua N… | 1-3 |
| Mar 27 | Solomon… v Papua N… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 08, 2023 | Papua New Gui… | 1-3 | Solomon Islan… |
| Mar 27, 2022 | Solomon Islan… | 3-2 | Papua New Gui… |
Key Factors
Papua New Guinea struggling (3L in last 5)
Solomon Islands struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.