AFF Championship · Dec 20, 2024 13:00
Zambia
PWR 50
Rathfriland
PWR 84
PWR 84
3 - 2
FT
Zambia
PWR 50
57% H
23% D
20% A
Final Verdict
Rathfriland Win
Prediction
4-2
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (12%)
3-0 (10%)
1-0 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
3-1 (8%)
1-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateElevated draw risk (23.6%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/0 rules)
Power & Form
Attack100
Defense53
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G1.3
Attack70
Defense30
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G2.0
Rathfriland Form
WWLLW
STABLE
Zambia Form
WLLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS50%
Under 2.541%
Rathfriland Goals
0
8%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Zambia Goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 58% | 43% | - |
| 5.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 6.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total5.1
Over 3.575%
BTTS Yes68%
Home Clean Sheet31%
Away Clean Sheet2%
Top Correct Scores:
3-1 (7%)
4-1 (7%)
3-0 (6%)
4-0 (6%)
2-1 (6%)
5-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.50
Rathfrilandvs
0.78
ZambiaDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum90%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Rathfriland+1
Gap#2
Zambia
WR 100% 9 pts
WR 50% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rathfriland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| Zambia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Rathfriland
12.0%
| Dec 17 | Rathfri… v Singapo… | 2-4 |
| Nov 29 | Rathfri… v Oxford … | 1-0 |
| Nov 02 | Rathfri… v Banbrid… | 1-0 |
| Aug 24 | Rathfri… v Lisburn… | 0-2 |
| Aug 13 | Rathfri… v Coagh U… | 2-1 |
| Jun 11 | Rathfri… v Singapo… | 3-1 |
| Mar 23 | Rathfri… v Coagh U… | 1-3 |
| Mar 16 | Rathfri… v Moyola … | 2-1 |
| Feb 20 | Rathfri… v Lisburn… | 3-4 |
| Feb 03 | Rathfri… v Lisburn… | 0-2 |
Zambia
4.0%
| Dec 17 | Zambia v Timor-L… | 2-1 |
| Oct 15 | Zambia v Hong Ko… | 3-0 |
| Jul 02 | Zambia v Como | 1-0 |
| Jun 07 | Zambia v Morocco | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Zambia v Morocco | 0-1 |
| Sep 09 | Zambia v Como | 1-1 |
| Sep 07 | Zambia v Hong Ko… | 1-1 |
| Jul 14 | Zambia v South A… | 1-2 |
| Jul 09 | Zambia v Como | 2-1 |
| Sep 23 | Zambia v Mali | 1-0 |
Key Factors
Rathfriland in strong form (3W in last 5)
Zambia struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.