Emperor’s Cup · May 25, 2025 04:00
Matsumoto Yamaga
PWR 77
Osaka
PWR 23
Matsumoto Yamaga
PWR 77
2 - 1
FT
Osaka
PWR 23
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
Matsumoto Yamaga Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
37%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (22%)
0-0 (19%)
2-0 (12%)
1-1 (11%)
0-1 (10%)
2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 37%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (23.5%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/1 rules)
Power & Form
Attack70
Defense65
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.0
Attack35
Defense30
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.0
Matsumoto Yama… Form
WDLWW
STABLE
Osaka Form
WWLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.523%
BTTS27%
Under 2.577%
Matsumoto Y… Goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Osaka Goals
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 48% | 53% | - |
| 2.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.6
Over 3.58%
BTTS Yes31%
Home Clean Sheet43%
Away Clean Sheet46%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (20%)
0-1 (17%)
1-0 (16%)
1-1 (13%)
0-2 (7%)
2-0 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Matsumoto Yama…vs
0.51
OsakaDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#17
Matsumoto Y…+21
Gap#38
Osaka
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matsumoto Yamaga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Osaka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Matsumoto Yama…
14.0%
| May 18 | Matsumo… v Gainare… | 1-0 |
| May 14 | Matsumo… v Parceir… | 2-2 |
| May 07 | Matsumo… v Osaka | 1-0 |
| May 03 | Matsumo… v Kanazawa | 2-1 |
| Apr 26 | Matsumo… v Kitakyu… | 1-2 |
| Apr 20 | Matsumo… v Tochigi… | 0-1 |
| Apr 13 | Matsumo… v Kamatam… | 0-2 |
| Apr 09 | Matsumo… v Albirex… | 0-2 |
| Mar 26 | Matsumo… v Sagan T… | 1-0 |
| Dec 07 | Matsumo… v Katalle… | 2-2 |
Osaka
12.0%
| May 18 | Osaka v Sagamih… | 1-2 |
| May 07 | Osaka v Matsumo… | 1-0 |
| May 03 | Osaka v Tochigi… | 2-1 |
| Apr 18 | Osaka v Thespak… | 4-3 |
| Mar 26 | Osaka v Júbilo … | 1-2 |
| Dec 01 | Osaka v Katalle… | 1-1 |
| Nov 24 | Osaka v Vanraur… | 1-1 |
| Nov 15 | Osaka v Sagamih… | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | Osaka v YSCC | 5-0 |
| Nov 02 | Osaka v FC Gifu | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| May 07, 2025 | Osaka | 1-0 | Matsumoto Yam… |
Key Factors
Matsumoto Yamaga in strong form (3W in last 5)
Osaka in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.