Cup · May 13, 2025 14:00
Pakhtakor
PWR 62
Nasaf
PWR 47
Pakhtakor
PWR 62
6 - 3
FT
Nasaf
PWR 47
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 1.8/g, Away concedes 2.5/g, expected 3.7 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Pakhtakor Win
Score
3-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)1-0 (6%)
CORRECT 6-3
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
66%
66%
Under 2.5
34%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 63%
Over 3.5
6%
Team Comparison
64Attack79
71Defense13
Goals/G
1.82.3
Conc/G
0.82.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Pakhtakor
WLWWL
STABLE
Nasaf
DDWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 5/8 draws (62%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.47
Pakhtakorvs
1.17
NasafGoal Probability
Pakhtakor
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Nasaf
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (26%)0-0 (24%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)3-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 2.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Pakhtakor+4
Gap#5
Nasaf
WR 50% 11 pts
WR 50% 7 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pakhtakor | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 11 |
| Nasaf | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 7 |
Pakhtakor
12.0%
| May 10 | Pakhtak… v Buxoro | 6-0 |
| May 03 | Pakhtak… v Surkhon | 2-1 |
| Apr 27 | Pakhtak… v Shortan | 1-0 |
| Apr 19 | Pakhtak… v Neftchi… | 0-4 |
| Apr 13 | Pakhtak… v Andijan | 2-3 |
| Apr 06 | Pakhtak… v Sogdiana | 2-0 |
| Apr 02 | Pakhtak… v Mash'al | 5-0 |
| Mar 29 | Pakhtak… v Dinamo … | 0-1 |
| Mar 16 | Pakhtak… v Olmaliq | 2-0 |
| Nov 30 | Pakhtak… v Bunyodk… | 2-0 |
Nasaf
16.0%
| May 10 | Nasaf v Bunyodk… | 2-2 |
| May 02 | Nasaf v Xorazm | 1-1 |
| Apr 27 | Nasaf v Qizilqum | 4-0 |
| Apr 19 | Nasaf v Buxoro | 1-3 |
| Apr 13 | Nasaf v Surkhon | 1-0 |
| Apr 05 | Nasaf v Shortan | 1-4 |
| Mar 29 | Nasaf v Neftchi… | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Nasaf v Andijan | 1-1 |
| Mar 09 | Nasaf v Sogdiana | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | Nasaf v Sogdiana | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Aug 10, 2024 | Nasaf | 1-0 | Pakhtakor |
| May 29, 2024 | Pakhtakor | 1-1 | Nasaf |
| Mar 08, 2024 | Pakhtakor | 0-0 | Nasaf |
| Nov 03, 2023 | Pakhtakor | 1-1 | Nasaf |
| Aug 24, 2023 | Pakhtakor | 1-2 | Nasaf |
| Aug 15, 2023 | Nasaf | 0-0 | Pakhtakor |
| Oct 02, 2022 | Pakhtakor | 0-1 | Nasaf |
| May 07, 2022 | Nasaf | 0-0 | Pakhtakor |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Pakhtakor in strong form (3W in last 5)
Nasaf in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.