Ýokary Liga · Dec 15, 2025 14:00
Ahal
PWR 69
Aşgabat
PWR 24
Ahal
PWR 69
1 - 2
FT
Aşgabat
PWR 24
65% H
21% D
14% A
Final Verdict
Ahal Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
63%
Confidence
GOLD
Stability GOLD
Stability GOLD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (30%)
0-0 (25%)
2-0 (17%)
3-0 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
0-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 63%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy73%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANTPOINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (23.6%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got GOLD/3 rules)
Power & Form
Attack68
Defense74
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G0.8
Attack30
Defense17
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G2.4
Ahal Form
WWWWD
UP
Aşgabat Form
LLLWL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.516%
BTTS13%
Under 2.584%
Ahal Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Aşgabat Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 54% | 47% | - |
| 4.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 10% | 91% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.8
Over 3.554%
BTTS Yes50%
Home Clean Sheet47%
Away Clean Sheet5%
Top Correct Scores:
3-0 (11%)
2-0 (10%)
4-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
1-0 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Ahalvs
0.20
AşgabatDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Ahal+4
Gap#6
Aşgabat
WR 66% 87 pts
WR 24% 30 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahal | 41 | 27 | 6 | 8 | 80 | 31 | 87 |
| Aşgabat | 38 | 9 | 3 | 26 | 33 | 90 | 30 |
Ahal
18.0%
| Dec 11 | Ahal v Merw | 0-2 |
| Dec 07 | Ahal v Balkan | 0-3 |
| Dec 04 | Ahal v Merw | 4-0 |
| Dec 01 | Ahal v Şagadam | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | Ahal v Al-Nassr | 3-3 |
| Nov 04 | Ahal v Sepahan… | 2-2 |
| Oct 29 | Ahal v Köpetda… | 1-4 |
| Oct 26 | Ahal v Arkadag | 0-1 |
| Oct 21 | Ahal v Sepahan… | 0-1 |
| Oct 16 | Ahal v Köpetda… | 2-0 |
Aşgabat
4.0%
| Dec 11 | Aşgabat v Arkadag | 0-1 |
| Nov 30 | Aşgabat v Balkan | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Aşgabat v Köpetda… | 1-2 |
| Oct 30 | Aşgabat v Merw | 2-1 |
| Oct 26 | Aşgabat v Şagadam | 2-1 |
| Oct 04 | Aşgabat v Ahal | 1-1 |
| Sep 28 | Aşgabat v Al-Nassr | 0-5 |
| Sep 22 | Aşgabat v Şagadam | 1-0 |
| Sep 13 | Aşgabat v Balkan | 1-2 |
| Aug 19 | Aşgabat v Köpetda… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Oct 04, 2025 | Aşgabat | 1-1 | Ahal |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Aşgabat | 1-4 | Ahal |
| Oct 03, 2024 | Aşgabat | 1-2 | Ahal |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Ahal | 3-0 | Aşgabat |
| May 22, 2024 | Aşgabat | 1-2 | Ahal |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Ahal | 4-0 | Aşgabat |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Ahal | 2-1 | Aşgabat |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Aşgabat | 0-4 | Ahal |
Key Factors
Ahal in strong form (4W in last 5)
Aşgabat struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.