TrophĂ©e des Champions · Jan 05, 2025 16:30
Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
AS Monaco
PWR 34
Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
1 - 0
FT
AS Monaco
PWR 34
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
Paris Saint Germain Win
Prediction
2-0
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (7%)
2-1 (5%)
3-0 (5%)
3-2 (5%)
2-0 (4%)
2-2 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 2/8 draws (25%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.1%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack65
Defense76
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.8
Attack48
Defense51
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
Paris Saint Ge… Form
DWWDL
STABLE
AS Monaco Form
LLDWL
DOWN
Key Players
Paris Saint Germain
Bradley Barcola
7.54G1A
Vitinha
7.77A
Khvicha Kvaratskh…
7.43G2A
Ousmane Dembélé
8.43G
Senny Mayulu
6.73G2A
AS Monaco
Folarin Balogun
6.52G3A
Mamadou Coulibaly
7.13G1A
Ansu Fati
6.83G
Mika Biereth
6.63G
Maghnes Akliouche
6.91G2A
Score & Markets
Over 2.569%
BTTS73%
Under 2.531%
Paris Saint… Goals
0
2%
1
7%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
AS Monaco Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 65% | 36% | - |
| 3.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.3
Over 3.543%
BTTS Yes63%
Home Clean Sheet27%
Away Clean Sheet13%
Top Correct Scores:
2-1 (10%)
1-1 (10%)
2-0 (7%)
1-0 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
1-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.00
Paris Saint Ge…vs
1.36
AS MonacoDecision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Paris Saint…+1
Gap#2
AS Monaco
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Ger… | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| AS Monaco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Paris Saint Ge…
12.0%
| Dec 22 | Paris S… v Lens | 1-1 |
| Dec 18 | Paris S… v AS Mona… | 2-4 |
| Dec 15 | Paris S… v Olympiq… | 3-1 |
| Dec 06 | Paris S… v Auxerre | 0-0 |
| Nov 26 | Paris S… v FC Baye… | 1-0 |
| Oct 27 | Paris S… v Olympiq… | 0-3 |
| Oct 19 | Paris S… v Strasbo… | 4-2 |
| Sep 27 | Paris S… v Rennes … | 3-1 |
| Sep 01 | Paris S… v Lille | 1-3 |
| Aug 16 | Paris S… v LE Havr… | 1-4 |
AS Monaco
6.0%
| Dec 18 | AS Mona… v Paris S… | 2-4 |
| Dec 18 | AS Mona… v Paris FC | 2-4 |
| Dec 14 | AS Mona… v Reims | 0-0 |
| Dec 07 | AS Mona… v Toulouse | 2-0 |
| Dec 01 | AS Mona… v Olympiq… | 2-1 |
| Dec 01 | AS Mona… v Olympiq… | 2-1 |
| Nov 22 | AS Mona… v Brest | 3-2 |
| Nov 22 | AS Mona… v Stade B… | 3-2 |
| Nov 09 | AS Mona… v Strasbo… | 1-3 |
| Nov 09 | AS Mona… v Strasbo… | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Dec 18, 2024 | AS Monaco | 2-4 | Paris Saint G… |
| Mar 01, 2024 | AS Monaco | 0-0 | Paris Saint G… |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Paris Saint G… | 5-2 | AS Monaco |
| Feb 11, 2023 | AS Monaco | 3-1 | Paris Saint G… |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Paris Saint G… | 1-1 | AS Monaco |
| Mar 20, 2022 | AS Monaco | 3-0 | Paris Saint G… |
| Dec 12, 2021 | Paris Saint G… | 2-0 | AS Monaco |
| May 19, 2021 | AS Monaco | 0-2 | Paris Saint G… |
Key Factors
AS Monaco struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.