FAW Championship · Mar 09, 2026 19:45
Trethomas Bluebirds
PWR 43
PWR 43
2-1
predicted
Newport City
PWR 51
PWR 51
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Trethomas Bluebirds to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (19%)
1-0 (18%)
3-0 (13%)
0-0 (9%)
2-1 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FAW Championship
Power & Form
Attack53
Defense43
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.6
Attack47
Defense64
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.0
Trethomas Blue… Form
LLDWL
DOWN
Newport City Form
DWWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.543%
BTTS26%
Under 2.557%
Trethomas B… Goals
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Newport City Goals
0
71%
1
25%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 4.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.1
Over 3.537%
BTTS Yes62%
Home Clean Sheet19%
Away Clean Sheet24%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (11%)
1-2 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
0-1 (8%)
1-0 (7%)
2-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Trethomas Blue…vs
0.35
Newport CityDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum90%
Standings50%
Market35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#22
Trethomas B…-2
Gap#20
Newport City
WR 33% 48 pts
WR 41% 50 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trethomas Blueb… | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 59 | 48 |
| Newport City | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 50 |
Trethomas Blue…
6.0%
| Mar 01 | Trethom… v Cambria… | 4-2 |
| Feb 20 | Trethom… v Afan Li… | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | Trethom… v Ammanfo… | 0-0 |
| Jan 30 | Trethom… v Cwmbran… | 2-0 |
| Jan 23 | Trethom… v Caerau … | 1-5 |
| Jan 09 | Trethom… v Trefelin | 3-1 |
| Dec 26 | Trethom… v Treowen… | 2-0 |
| Dec 20 | Trethom… v Baglan … | 2-1 |
| Dec 05 | Trethom… v Llantwi… | 2-2 |
| Nov 28 | Trethom… v Pontypr… | 2-1 |
Newport City
10.0%
| Mar 01 | Newport… v Carmart… | 4-4 |
| Feb 20 | Newport… v Llantwi… | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | Newport… v Afan Li… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Newport… v Aberyst… | 0-1 |
| Jan 23 | Newport… v Cambria… | 2-0 |
| Jan 09 | Newport… v Caerau … | 1-1 |
| Dec 27 | Newport… v Cwmbran… | 2-2 |
| Dec 10 | Newport… v Cardiff… | 2-1 |
| Dec 05 | Newport… v Pontypr… | 0-0 |
| Nov 29 | Newport… v Treowen… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 10, 2025 | Newport City | 1-1 | Trethomas Blu… |
| Jan 03, 2025 | Newport City | 1-2 | Trethomas Blu… |
| Nov 01, 2024 | Trethomas Blu… | 2-1 | Newport City |
Key Factors
Trethomas Bluebirds struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.