Super Cup · Jul 12, 2025 15:00

Krasnodar
PWR 17
0 - 1
FT

Spartak Moscow
PWR 77
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
Krasnodar Win
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (13%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.5%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense13
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.5
Attack35
Defense100
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.0
Krasnodar Form WWLWW
STABLE
Spartak Moscow Form DWWDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.552%
BTTS42%
Under 2.548%
Krasnodar Goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Spartak Mos… Goals
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 99% 2% OVER
1.5 92% 8% OVER
2.5 79% 21% OVER
3.5 60% 40% -
4.5 41% 59% -
5.5 24% 76% UNDER
6.5 13% 87% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total4.2
Over 3.560%
BTTS Yes66%
Home Clean Sheet30%
Away Clean Sheet5%
Top Correct Scores:
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 4-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.25
Krasnodar
vs
0.64
Spartak Moscow
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum88%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Krasnodar
-1
Gap
#2
Spartak Mos…
WR 0% 0 pts WR 100% 3 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Krasnodar2002250
Spartak Moscow1100103
Krasnodar 16.0%
May 24 Krasnod… v Dinamo … 3-0
May 17 Krasnod… v Orenburg 1-2
May 10 Krasnod… v Spartak… 1-0
May 03 Krasnod… v Rubin 2-1
Apr 25 Krasnod… v Makhach… 2-3
Apr 19 Krasnod… v Akhmat … 3-1
Apr 13 Krasnod… v Zenit S… 4-1
Mar 16 Krasnod… v FC Rost… 0-1
Mar 11 Krasnod… v Akhmat … 1-2
Feb 21 Krasnod… v Dinamo … 1-2
Spartak Moscow 16.0%
Jun 01 Spartak… v FC Porto 0-0
May 24 Spartak… v Nizhny … 2-0
May 24 Spartak… v Khimki 5-0
May 19 Spartak… v Lokomot… 2-2
May 18 Spartak… v Krylya … 0-2
May 15 Spartak… v FC Porto 1-2
May 14 Spartak… v Zenit S… 2-0
May 11 Spartak… v Dinamo … 2-0
May 10 Spartak… v Krasnod… 1-0
May 04 Spartak… v Akhmat … 1-1
Head-to-Head (10)
May 10, 2025 Spartak Moscow 1-0 Krasnodar
Jan 30, 2025 Spartak Moscow 3-2 Krasnodar
Dec 01, 2024 Krasnodar 0-3 Spartak Moscow
Oct 19, 2024 Spartak Moscow 0-3 Krasnodar
Sep 18, 2024 Spartak Moscow 2-0 Krasnodar
Aug 10, 2024 Krasnodar 2-1 Spartak Moscow
Jul 31, 2024 Krasnodar 1-0 Spartak Moscow
May 11, 2024 Spartak Moscow 1-0 Krasnodar
Dec 10, 2023 Krasnodar 1-0 Spartak Moscow
Nov 01, 2023 Spartak Moscow 2-3 Krasnodar
Key Factors
Krasnodar in strong form (4W in last 5)
Spartak Moscow in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.