NM Cupen · Dec 06, 2025 15:00
Lillestrøm
PWR 76
Sarpsborg 08
PWR 40
Lillestrøm
PWR 76
3 - 1
FT
Sarpsborg 08
PWR 40
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
Lillestrøm Win
Prediction
5-1
Score
50%
Confidence
STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (12%)
2-0 (10%)
3-1 (6%)
2-1 (5%)
1-0 (5%)
1-1 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 50%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (23.2%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got STANDARD/2 rules)
Power & Form
Attack88
Defense59
Goals/G2.5
Conc/G1.2
Attack53
Defense30
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G2.0
Lillestrøm Form
WWWLW
UP
Sarpsborg 08 Form
WWLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS40%
Under 2.538%
Lillestrøm Goals
0
2%
1
9%
2
16%
3
21%
4
19%
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 5.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 6.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
Goal Markets
xG Total5.9
Over 3.584%
BTTS Yes85%
Home Clean Sheet14%
Away Clean Sheet2%
Top Correct Scores:
3-1 (6%)
3-2 (5%)
4-1 (5%)
4-2 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
5-1 (4%)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.78
Lillestrømvs
0.53
Sarpsborg 08Decision Breakdown
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#4
Lillestrøm+5
Gap#9
Sarpsborg 08
WR 83% 16 pts
WR 38% 10 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lillestrøm | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 16 |
| Sarpsborg 08 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
Lillestrøm
16.0%
| Nov 15 | Lillest… v Hønefos… | 1-3 |
| Nov 08 | Lillest… v Stabæk | 3-0 |
| Nov 07 | Lillest… v Lyn Wom… | 4-0 |
| Nov 02 | Lillest… v Våleren… | 2-0 |
| Nov 01 | Lillest… v Kongsvi… | 0-2 |
| Oct 25 | Lillest… v Rahimo | 2-1 |
| Oct 22 | Lillest… v ODD Bal… | 1-7 |
| Oct 19 | Lillest… v Røa | 2-3 |
| Oct 17 | Lillest… v Lyn | 5-1 |
| Oct 12 | Lillest… v Bodø/Gl… | 1-0 |
Sarpsborg 08
12.0%
| Nov 30 | Sarpsbo… v Molde | 1-0 |
| Nov 23 | Sarpsbo… v Bryne | 0-3 |
| Nov 08 | Sarpsbo… v Fredrik… | 0-2 |
| Nov 02 | Sarpsbo… v Tromsø … | 4-0 |
| Oct 25 | Sarpsbo… v KFUM Os… | 2-1 |
| Oct 18 | Sarpsbo… v Bodø/Gl… | 2-5 |
| Oct 05 | Sarpsbo… v Rosenbo… | 2-3 |
| Sep 27 | Sarpsbo… v Viking | 3-3 |
| Sep 24 | Sarpsbo… v Kjelsås | 4-4 |
| Sep 21 | Sarpsbo… v Strømsg… | 2-1 |
Key Factors
Lillestrøm in strong form (4W in last 5)
Sarpsborg 08 in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.