Premier League · Dec 06, 2025 11:00
Belshina
PWR 25
Smorgon
PWR 29
Belshina
PWR 25
1 - 0
FT
Smorgon
PWR 29
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Smorgon Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (14%)2-0 (11%)1-0 (6%)3-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (2%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
60%
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
27%
Team Comparison
31Attack27
30Defense41
Goals/G
0.90.8
Conc/G
2.01.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Belshina
LWLWD
STABLE
Smorgon
WLWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 5% = 35.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (27.9%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
3.79
Belshinavs
0.38
SmorgonGoal Probability
Belshina
0
2%
1
9%
2
16%
3
21%
4
19%
Smorgon
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (12%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (7%)0-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 27% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 3.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
Belshina-2
Gap#15
Smorgon
WR 13% 5 pts
WR 17% 35 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belshina | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 5 |
| Smorgon | 46 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 35 | 78 | 35 |
Belshina
10.0%
| Dec 03 | Belshina v Smorgon | 1-0 |
| Nov 23 | Belshina v FC Minsk | 2-6 |
| Nov 15 | Belshina v Osipovi… | 1-3 |
| Nov 09 | Belshina v Niva | 1-2 |
| Nov 01 | Belshina v BATE II | 0-0 |
| Oct 25 | Belshina v FC Dnep… | 3-1 |
| Oct 18 | Belshina v Bumprom | 2-0 |
| Oct 11 | Belshina v Dinamo … | 0-1 |
| Oct 05 | Belshina v Orsha | 3-0 |
| Sep 27 | Belshina v Slonim | 2-0 |
Smorgon
10.0%
| Dec 03 | Smorgon v Belshina | 1-0 |
| Nov 29 | Smorgon v FC Gomel | 3-1 |
| Nov 23 | Smorgon v Molodec… | 1-0 |
| Nov 18 | Smorgon v Torpedo… | 0-4 |
| Nov 09 | Smorgon v FC Islo… | 0-0 |
| Nov 01 | Smorgon v FC Vite… | 0-2 |
| Oct 24 | Smorgon v FC Minsk | 2-2 |
| Oct 18 | Smorgon v Bate Bo… | 1-0 |
| Oct 05 | Smorgon v Slavia … | 3-1 |
| Sep 28 | Smorgon v Neman | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Dec 03, 2025 | Smorgon | 1-0 | Belshina |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.