Challenge Cup · Apr 19, 2025 14:30
Zurrieq
PWR 83
2 - 0
FT

Santa Lucía
PWR 23
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Zurrieq to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-3 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 2-3 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 0-3 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Challenge Cup
Power & Form
Attack88
Defense65
Goals/G2.5
Conc/G1.0
Attack35
Defense30
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.0
Zurrieq Form WLWWD
STABLE
Santa Lucía Form DWDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.575%
BTTS76%
Under 2.525%
Zurrieq Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Santa Lucía Goals
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 95% 5% OVER
1.5 81% 19% OVER
2.5 59% 41% -
3.5 37% 63% -
4.5 20% 80% UNDER
5.5 9% 91% UNDER
6.5 4% 96% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total3.1
Over 3.537%
BTTS Yes61%
Home Clean Sheet24%
Away Clean Sheet20%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-2 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 0-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Zurrieq
vs
3.06
Santa Lucía
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Zurrieq
+5
Gap
#6
Santa Lucía
WR 100% 6 pts WR 0% 1 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Zurrieq2200526
Santa Lucía2011241
Zurrieq 14.0%
Apr 05 Zurrieq v Mgarr U… 0-2
Mar 02 Zurrieq v Swieqi … 3-1
Feb 27 Zurrieq v Swieqi … 3-2
Feb 15 Zurrieq v Santa L… 3-6
Feb 09 Zurrieq v Mgarr U… 1-1
Feb 06 Zurrieq v Naxxar … 0-4
Jan 19 Zurrieq v Fgura U… 0-3
Jan 04 Zurrieq v Santa L… 2-0
Dec 22 Zurrieq v Sirens 2-2
Nov 24 Zurrieq v Marsa 1-0
Santa Lucía 12.0%
Apr 13 Santa L… v Swieqi … 2-2
Mar 29 Santa L… v Marsa 3-1
Feb 27 Santa L… v Zebbug … 2-2
Feb 15 Santa L… v Zurrieq 3-6
Jan 04 Santa L… v Zurrieq 2-0
Nov 02 Santa L… v Zebbug … 1-2
Oct 26 Santa L… v Gudja U… 0-0
Sep 21 Santa L… v Swieqi … 3-2
Sep 15 Santa L… v Marsa 0-5
Feb 25 Santa L… v Gudja U… 0-4
Head-to-Head (2)
Feb 15, 2025 Santa Lucía 3-6 Zurrieq
Jan 04, 2025 Santa Lucía 2-0 Zurrieq
Key Factors
Zurrieq in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.