Challenge Cup · Apr 19, 2025 14:30

Santa Lucía
PWR 23
Zurrieq
PWR 83
PWR 83
2 - 0
FT

Santa Lucía
PWR 23
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Zurrieq to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-3 (7%)
1-2 (7%)
2-3 (6%)
2-2 (6%)
1-1 (5%)
0-3 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Challenge Cup
Power & Form
Attack88
Defense65
Goals/G2.5
Conc/G1.0
Attack35
Defense30
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.0
Zurrieq Form
WLWWD
STABLE
Santa Lucía Form
DWDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.575%
BTTS76%
Under 2.525%
Zurrieq Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Santa Lucía Goals
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 3.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 4.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.1
Over 3.537%
BTTS Yes61%
Home Clean Sheet24%
Away Clean Sheet20%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
1-2 (8%)
1-0 (8%)
0-1 (7%)
2-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Zurrieqvs
3.06
Santa LucíaDecision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Zurrieq+5
Gap#6
Santa Lucía
WR 100% 6 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zurrieq | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| Santa Lucía | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Zurrieq
14.0%
| Apr 05 | Zurrieq v Mgarr U… | 0-2 |
| Mar 02 | Zurrieq v Swieqi … | 3-1 |
| Feb 27 | Zurrieq v Swieqi … | 3-2 |
| Feb 15 | Zurrieq v Santa L… | 3-6 |
| Feb 09 | Zurrieq v Mgarr U… | 1-1 |
| Feb 06 | Zurrieq v Naxxar … | 0-4 |
| Jan 19 | Zurrieq v Fgura U… | 0-3 |
| Jan 04 | Zurrieq v Santa L… | 2-0 |
| Dec 22 | Zurrieq v Sirens | 2-2 |
| Nov 24 | Zurrieq v Marsa | 1-0 |
Santa Lucía
12.0%
| Apr 13 | Santa L… v Swieqi … | 2-2 |
| Mar 29 | Santa L… v Marsa | 3-1 |
| Feb 27 | Santa L… v Zebbug … | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Santa L… v Zurrieq | 3-6 |
| Jan 04 | Santa L… v Zurrieq | 2-0 |
| Nov 02 | Santa L… v Zebbug … | 1-2 |
| Oct 26 | Santa L… v Gudja U… | 0-0 |
| Sep 21 | Santa L… v Swieqi … | 3-2 |
| Sep 15 | Santa L… v Marsa | 0-5 |
| Feb 25 | Santa L… v Gudja U… | 0-4 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Feb 15, 2025 | Santa Lucía | 3-6 | Zurrieq |
| Jan 04, 2025 | Santa Lucía | 2-0 | Zurrieq |
Key Factors
Zurrieq in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.