Copa Colombia · Dec 18, 2025 00:30
Independiente Medellin
PWR 52
Atlético Nacional
PWR 62
Independiente Medellin
PWR 52
0 - 1
FT
Atlético Nacional
PWR 62
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
Independiente Medellin Win
Prediction
2-2
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (18%)
3-0 (16%)
1-0 (13%)
2-1 (5%)
3-1 (5%)
0-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 6/10 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.9%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack44
Defense67
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.0
Attack57
Defense73
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.8
Independiente … Form
DWLDL
STABLE
Atlético Nacio… Form
DLWLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.552%
BTTS24%
Under 2.548%
Independien… Goals
0
7%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Atlético Na… Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 87% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 4.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.5
Over 3.547%
BTTS Yes59%
Home Clean Sheet8%
Away Clean Sheet36%
Top Correct Scores:
1-2 (10%)
0-2 (9%)
1-3 (8%)
0-3 (8%)
1-1 (8%)
0-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.73
Independiente …vs
0.30
Atlético Nacio…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Independien…-2
Gap#2
Atlético Na…
WR 45% 31 pts
WR 55% 44 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente M… | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 19 | 31 |
| Atlético Nacion… | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 36 | 17 | 44 |
Independiente …
8.0%
| Dec 13 | Indepen… v Atlétic… | 0-0 |
| Dec 08 | Indepen… v Junior | 2-1 |
| Dec 04 | Indepen… v Atlétic… | 2-1 |
| Dec 02 | Indepen… v America… | 1-1 |
| Nov 29 | Indepen… v LDU Qui… | 2-1 |
| Nov 27 | Indepen… v America… | 2-1 |
| Nov 23 | Indepen… v Orense … | 0-0 |
| Nov 23 | Indepen… v Atlétic… | 0-0 |
| Nov 20 | Indepen… v Junior | 1-0 |
| Nov 14 | Indepen… v America… | 3-0 |
Atlético Nacio…
8.0%
| Dec 13 | Atlétic… v Indepen… | 0-0 |
| Dec 08 | Atlétic… v America… | 3-2 |
| Dec 04 | Atlétic… v Indepen… | 2-1 |
| Nov 30 | Atlétic… v Junior | 2-1 |
| Nov 27 | Atlétic… v Junior | 1-1 |
| Nov 23 | Atlétic… v Indepen… | 0-0 |
| Nov 21 | Atlétic… v America… | 1-0 |
| Nov 16 | Atlétic… v America… | 2-2 |
| Nov 14 | Atlétic… v Junior | 2-1 |
| Nov 08 | Atlétic… v Rionegr… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 13, 2025 | Atlético Naci… | 0-0 | Independiente… |
| Dec 04, 2025 | Atlético Naci… | 2-1 | Independiente… |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Independiente… | 0-0 | Atlético Naci… |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Atlético Naci… | 5-2 | Independiente… |
| Sep 08, 2025 | Independiente… | 3-3 | Atlético Naci… |
| May 04, 2025 | Independiente… | 1-1 | Atlético Naci… |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Atlético Naci… | 1-1 | Independiente… |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Independiente… | 1-0 | Atlético Naci… |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Atlético Naci… | 1-1 | Independiente… |
| Nov 01, 2024 | Atlético Naci… | 2-0 | Independiente… |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.