Copa Colombia · Dec 13, 2025 22:00
Atlético Nacional
PWR 62
Independiente Medellin
PWR 52
Atlético Nacional
PWR 62
0 - 0
FT
Independiente Medellin
PWR 52
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
Atlético Nacional Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (12%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (5%)
1-0 (4%)
2-1 (3%)
1-1 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.8%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack57
Defense73
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.8
Attack44
Defense67
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.0
Atlético Nacio… Form
LWLDD
STABLE
Independiente … Form
WLDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS31%
Under 2.543%
Atlético Na… Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
12%
3
17%
4
19%
Independien… Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 4.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total4.1
Over 3.558%
BTTS Yes52%
Home Clean Sheet46%
Away Clean Sheet4%
Top Correct Scores:
3-0 (10%)
2-0 (9%)
4-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
4-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.42
Atlético Nacio…vs
0.38
Independiente …Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#2
Atlético Na…+2
Gap#4
Independien…
WR 55% 44 pts
WR 45% 31 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Nacion… | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 36 | 17 | 44 |
| Independiente M… | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 19 | 31 |
Atlético Nacio…
8.0%
| Dec 08 | Atlétic… v America… | 3-2 |
| Dec 04 | Atlétic… v Indepen… | 2-1 |
| Nov 30 | Atlétic… v Junior | 2-1 |
| Nov 27 | Atlétic… v Junior | 1-1 |
| Nov 23 | Atlétic… v Indepen… | 0-0 |
| Nov 21 | Atlétic… v America… | 1-0 |
| Nov 16 | Atlétic… v America… | 2-2 |
| Nov 14 | Atlétic… v Junior | 2-1 |
| Nov 08 | Atlétic… v Rionegr… | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Atlétic… v America… | 4-1 |
Independiente …
6.0%
| Dec 08 | Indepen… v Junior | 2-1 |
| Dec 04 | Indepen… v Atlétic… | 2-1 |
| Dec 02 | Indepen… v America… | 1-1 |
| Nov 29 | Indepen… v LDU Qui… | 2-1 |
| Nov 27 | Indepen… v America… | 2-1 |
| Nov 23 | Indepen… v Orense … | 0-0 |
| Nov 23 | Indepen… v Atlétic… | 0-0 |
| Nov 20 | Indepen… v Junior | 1-0 |
| Nov 14 | Indepen… v America… | 3-0 |
| Nov 11 | Indepen… v Envigado | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 04, 2025 | Atlético Naci… | 2-1 | Independiente… |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Independiente… | 0-0 | Atlético Naci… |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Atlético Naci… | 5-2 | Independiente… |
| Sep 08, 2025 | Independiente… | 3-3 | Atlético Naci… |
| May 04, 2025 | Independiente… | 1-1 | Atlético Naci… |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Atlético Naci… | 1-1 | Independiente… |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Independiente… | 1-0 | Atlético Naci… |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Atlético Naci… | 1-1 | Independiente… |
| Nov 01, 2024 | Atlético Naci… | 2-0 | Independiente… |
| Jul 03, 2024 | Independiente… | 1-2 | Atlético Naci… |
Key Factors
Independiente Medellin struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.