Recopa · Jul 18, 2024 00:00
Deportivo Saprissa
PWR 12
LD Alajuelense
PWR 88
Deportivo Saprissa
PWR 12
1 - 3
FT
LD Alajuelense
PWR 88
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
Deportivo Saprissa Win
Prediction
1-4
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (14%)
1-1 (13%)
0-0 (12%)
0-1 (11%)
2-0 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMHOME_STREAK
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.3%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense0
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G3.0
Attack100
Defense65
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G1.0
Deportivo Saprā¦ Form
WWWDW
UP
LD Alajuelense Form
WDDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.535%
BTTS42%
Under 2.565%
Deportivo Sā¦ Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
LD Alajueleā¦ Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 4.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.7
Over 3.551%
BTTS Yes64%
Home Clean Sheet31%
Away Clean Sheet8%
Top Correct Scores:
2-1 (9%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
1-1 (7%)
3-0 (7%)
1-0 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Deportivo Saprā¦vs
0.92
LD AlajuelenseDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Deportivo Sā¦-1
Gap#1
LD Alajueleā¦
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 100% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Sapriā¦ | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| LD Alajuelense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Deportivo Saprā¦
18.0%
| May 19 | Deportiā¦ v Inter Sā¦ | 4-0 |
| May 17 | Deportiā¦ v Inter Sā¦ | 0-1 |
| May 05 | Deportiā¦ v Puntareā¦ | 0-2 |
| Apr 17 | Deportiā¦ v Municipā¦ | 2-2 |
| Apr 07 | Deportiā¦ v Sportinā¦ | 2-1 |
| Apr 04 | Deportiā¦ v Perez Zā¦ | 1-0 |
| Mar 28 | Deportiā¦ v CS Cartā¦ | 3-4 |
| Feb 11 | Deportiā¦ v Municipā¦ | 1-2 |
| Jan 28 | Deportiā¦ v Sportinā¦ | 0-2 |
| Jan 21 | Deportiā¦ v CS Cartā¦ | 1-1 |
LD Alajuelense
16.0%
| Apr 14 | LD Alajā¦ v Perez Zā¦ | 0-1 |
| Apr 06 | LD Alajā¦ v CS Cartā¦ | 0-0 |
| Apr 01 | LD Alajā¦ v Inter Sā¦ | 1-1 |
| Mar 27 | LD Alajā¦ v Municipā¦ | 0-4 |
| Feb 21 | LD Alajā¦ v Perez Zā¦ | 3-2 |
| Feb 09 | LD Alajā¦ v Puntareā¦ | 3-2 |
| Jan 28 | LD Alajā¦ v CS Cartā¦ | 0-1 |
| Jan 26 | LD Alajā¦ v Inter Sā¦ | 2-3 |
| Jan 21 | LD Alajā¦ v Municipā¦ | 0-0 |
| Nov 12 | LD Alajā¦ v CS Cartā¦ | 1-1 |
Key Factors
Deportivo Saprissa in strong form (4W in last 5)
LD Alajuelense in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.