Charity Shield · Jul 01, 2023 14:00
Larne
PWR 44
Crusaders FC
PWR 90
Larne
PWR 44
0 - 2
FT
Crusaders FC
PWR 90
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
Larne Win
Prediction
1-2
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (13%)
1-0 (12%)
3-0 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (9%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANT
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.3%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense48
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.5
Attack70
Defense100
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G0.0
Larne Form
LWLWW
STABLE
Crusaders FC Form
WDDWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.553%
BTTS45%
Under 2.547%
Larne Goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Crusaders FC Goals
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 88% | 13% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 74% | 27% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 5.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 6.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total5.0
Over 3.574%
BTTS Yes62%
Home Clean Sheet37%
Away Clean Sheet2%
Top Correct Scores:
3-0 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
4-0 (7%)
4-1 (7%)
5-0 (6%)
5-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Larnevs
0.71
Crusaders FCDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum87%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Larne-1
Gap#1
Crusaders FC
WR 50% 3 pts
WR 100% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larne | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Crusaders FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Larne
12.0%
| Apr 29 | Larne v Colerai… | 3-0 |
| Apr 07 | Larne v Glentor… | 2-0 |
| Mar 31 | Larne v Ballyme… | 0-2 |
| Feb 25 | Larne v Carrick… | 2-3 |
| Feb 14 | Larne v Dungann… | 0-3 |
| Feb 10 | Larne v Glentor… | 3-0 |
| Dec 26 | Larne v Carrick… | 0-0 |
| Dec 02 | Larne v Glentor… | 0-1 |
| Nov 18 | Larne v Dungann… | 2-1 |
| Sep 23 | Larne v Carrick… | 0-1 |
Crusaders FC
14.0%
| May 07 | Crusade… v Ballyme… | 0-4 |
| Apr 22 | Crusade… v Clifton… | 3-3 |
| Apr 07 | Crusade… v Linfield | 0-0 |
| Mar 25 | Crusade… v Carrick… | 3-0 |
| Mar 18 | Crusade… v Portado… | 2-2 |
| Mar 13 | Crusade… v Clifton… | 2-2 |
| Feb 25 | Crusade… v Ballyme… | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Crusade… v Glentor… | 2-2 |
| Jan 10 | Crusade… v Glentor… | 4-2 |
| Nov 14 | Crusade… v Ballyme… | 0-1 |
Key Factors
Larne in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.