Bundesliga · Mar 04, 2026 19:30
Hamburger SV
PWR 29
Bayer Leverkusen
PWR 42
Hamburger SV
PWR 29
2-3
predicted
Bayer Leverkusen
PWR 42
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
Bayer Leverkusen Win
Prediction
2-3
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (15%)
0-0 (14%)
1-1 (13%)
1-0 (12%)
0-2 (8%)
1-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_FORM_DOMINANT
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)WR diff only 4% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (28.9%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack30
Defense54
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.5
Attack60
Defense59
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.4
Hamburger SV Form
LDWWD
STABLE
Bayer Leverkus… Form
DDLWW
STABLE
Key Players
Hamburger SV
No player data
Bayer Leverkusen
Martin Terrier
8.01G
Patrik Schick
7.71G
Robert Andrich
9.3
Aleix GarcĂa
7.71A
Alejandro Grimaldo
7.31A
Score & Markets
Over 2.532%
BTTS39%
Under 2.568%
Hamburger SV Goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Bayer Lever… Goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.4
Over 3.523%
BTTS Yes41%
Home Clean Sheet17%
Away Clean Sheet50%
Top Correct Scores:
0-1 (15%)
0-2 (13%)
1-1 (11%)
1-2 (9%)
0-0 (9%)
0-3 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Hamburger SVvs
1.10
Bayer Leverkus…Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings40%
Market35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Hamburger SV-5
Gap#6
Bayer Lever…
WR 42% 26 pts
WR 46% 40 pts
Hamburger SV
12.0%
| Mar 01 | Hamburg… v RB Leip… | 1-2 |
| Feb 20 | Hamburg… v FSV Mai… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Hamburg… v Union B… | 3-2 |
| Feb 07 | Hamburg… v FC Heid… | 0-2 |
| Jan 31 | Hamburg… v Bayern … | 2-2 |
| Jan 23 | Hamburg… v FC St. … | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | Hamburg… v Borussi… | 0-0 |
| Jan 10 | Hamburg… v SC Frei… | 2-1 |
| Dec 20 | Hamburg… v Eintrac… | 1-1 |
| Dec 13 | Hamburg… v 1899 Ho… | 4-1 |
Bayer Leverkus…
12.0%
| Feb 28 | Bayer L… v FSV Mai… | 1-1 |
| Feb 24 | Bayer L… v Olympia… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Bayer L… v Union B… | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | Bayer L… v Olympia… | 0-2 |
| Feb 14 | Bayer L… v FC St. … | 4-0 |
| Feb 07 | Bayer L… v Borussi… | 1-1 |
| Feb 03 | Bayer L… v FC St. … | 3-0 |
| Jan 31 | Bayer L… v Eintrac… | 1-3 |
| Jan 28 | Bayer L… v Villarr… | 3-0 |
| Jan 24 | Bayer L… v Werder … | 1-0 |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.