Super Cup · Sep 25, 2024 17:30
Apoel Nicosia
PWR 77
Pafos FC
PWR 29
Apoel Nicosia
PWR 77
1 - 0
FT
Pafos FC
PWR 29
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Under 2.5
Goals · Low scoring expected: 1.2 total goals avg
80%
accuracy
1.7x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Apoel Nicosia Win
Score
2-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (19%)0-1 (17%)1-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (6%)
CORRECT 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
23%
Under 2.5
77%
77%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
35%
Team Comparison
35Attack18
100Defense65
Goals/G
1.00.5
Conc/G
0.01.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Apoel Nicosia
WDDLW
STABLE
Pafos FC
WWWDD
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Apoel Nicosiavs
0.89
Pafos FCGoal Probability
Apoel Nicos…
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Pafos FC
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)2-0 (8%)1-2 (6%)0-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Apoel Nicos…+2
Gap#3
Pafos FC
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apoel Nicosia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Pafos FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Apoel Nicosia
12.0%
| Sep 18 | Apoel N… v Enosis | 0-4 |
| Jul 17 | Apoel N… v AEK Lar… | 0-0 |
| May 11 | Apoel N… v AEK Lar… | 1-1 |
| Apr 28 | Apoel N… v Omonia … | 1-0 |
| Apr 21 | Apoel N… v Paris FC | 2-0 |
| Apr 14 | Apoel N… v Pafos FC | 0-2 |
| Apr 07 | Apoel N… v Anortho… | 0-2 |
| Mar 31 | Apoel N… v AEK Lar… | 1-2 |
| Mar 16 | Apoel N… v Omonia … | 0-1 |
| Mar 10 | Apoel N… v Paris FC | 2-1 |
Pafos FC
16.0%
| Sep 14 | Pafos FC v Anortho… | 3-1 |
| Sep 01 | Pafos FC v AEK Lar… | 0-2 |
| May 18 | Pafos FC v Omonia … | 0-3 |
| May 11 | Pafos FC v Omonia … | 1-1 |
| Apr 28 | Pafos FC v Aris | 1-1 |
| Apr 21 | Pafos FC v Anortho… | 5-1 |
| Apr 17 | Pafos FC v Apollon… | 1-1 |
| Apr 14 | Pafos FC v Apoel N… | 0-2 |
| Apr 10 | Pafos FC v Apollon… | 2-1 |
| Apr 06 | Pafos FC v AEK Lar… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Apr 14, 2024 | Pafos FC | 0-2 | Apoel Nicosia |
| Mar 03, 2024 | Apoel Nicosia | 1-0 | Pafos FC |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Pafos FC | 0-1 | Apoel Nicosia |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Pafos FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.