Shield Cup · Jun 29, 2025 12:00
Gor Mahia
PWR 63
Nairobi United
PWR 46
PWR 46
1 - 2
FT
Gor Mahia
PWR 63
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
Gor Mahia Win
Prediction
1-2
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (32%)
0-1 (27%)
0-2 (11%)
1-0 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
1-2 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.8%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense74
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.8
Attack56
Defense72
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.8
Nairobi United Form
DWDDD
STABLE
Gor Mahia Form
DDDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.511%
BTTS15%
Under 2.589%
Nairobi Uni… Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Gor Mahia Goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 3.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.4
Over 3.522%
BTTS Yes39%
Home Clean Sheet17%
Away Clean Sheet53%
Top Correct Scores:
0-1 (16%)
0-2 (14%)
1-1 (10%)
0-0 (9%)
1-2 (9%)
0-3 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Nairobi Unitedvs
0.85
Gor MahiaDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum43%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
Nairobi Uni…-4
Gap#2
Gor Mahia
WR 25% 5 pts
WR 60% 10 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nairobi United | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| Gor Mahia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
Nairobi United
12.0%
| Jun 01 | Nairobi… v Mara Su… | 1-1 |
| May 01 | Nairobi… v Homeboyz | 2-0 |
| Apr 12 | Nairobi… v KCB | 0-0 |
| Mar 16 | Nairobi… v APS Bom… | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Nairobi… v Tusker | 1-1 |
| Nov 17 | Nairobi… v APS Bom… | 1-0 |
| Jun 07 | Nairobi… v Mathare… | 2-3 |
| Jun 02 | Nairobi… v Mara Su… | 1-0 |
| Dec 16 | Nairobi… v Mara Su… | 0-2 |
| Nov 15 | Nairobi… v Mathare… | 2-0 |
Gor Mahia
12.0%
| Jun 22 | Gor Mah… v Police | 1-1 |
| Jun 02 | Gor Mah… v AFC Leo… | 1-1 |
| May 25 | Gor Mah… v Murang'… | 2-2 |
| May 18 | Gor Mah… v Murang'… | 0-0 |
| May 04 | Gor Mah… v Shabana | 0-1 |
| May 01 | Gor Mah… v Karioba… | 0-2 |
| Apr 27 | Gor Mah… v Mara Su… | 4-0 |
| Apr 19 | Gor Mah… v Sofapaka | 1-1 |
| Apr 12 | Gor Mah… v Bandari | 0-2 |
| Apr 07 | Gor Mah… v KCB | 0-1 |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.