Shield Cup · Jun 29, 2025 09:00

Murang'a SEAL
PWR 53
1 - 0
FT
Mara Sugar
PWR 29
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
Murang'a SEAL Win
Prediction
3-0
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 3/6 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.3%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack53
Defense56
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.3
Attack18
Defense65
Goals/G0.5
Conc/G1.0
Murang'a SEAL Form DDDWL
STABLE
Mara Sugar Form LDDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS37%
Under 2.539%
Murang'a SE… Goals
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Mara Sugar Goals
0
61%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 98% 2% OVER
1.5 91% 9% OVER
2.5 76% 24% OVER
3.5 56% 44% -
4.5 37% 63% -
5.5 21% 79% UNDER
6.5 11% 89% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total4.0
Over 3.556%
BTTS Yes65%
Home Clean Sheet31%
Away Clean Sheet6%
Top Correct Scores:
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 4-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.33
Murang'a SEAL
vs
0.49
Mara Sugar
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Murang'a SE…
+6
Gap
#11
Mara Sugar
WR 50% 7 pts WR 0% 1 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Murang'a SEAL4211657
Mara Sugar2011121
Murang'a SEAL 10.0%
Jun 15 Murang'… v Mara Su… 0-0
May 25 Murang'… v Gor Mah… 2-2
May 18 Murang'… v Gor Mah… 0-0
May 14 Murang'… v Sofapaka 2-0
May 10 Murang'… v Tusker 2-0
May 01 Murang'… v Ulinzi … 3-2
Apr 26 Murang'… v Posta R… 3-2
Apr 06 Murang'… v Bidco U… 1-1
Mar 15 Murang'… v Police 3-1
Mar 02 Murang'… v Mathare… 1-1
Mara Sugar 10.0%
Jun 22 Mara Su… v Karioba… 4-1
Jun 15 Mara Su… v Murang'… 0-0
Jun 01 Mara Su… v Nairobi… 1-1
May 25 Mara Su… v Police 1-1
May 18 Mara Su… v Shabana 0-1
May 04 Mara Su… v Ulinzi … 1-1
Apr 27 Mara Su… v Gor Mah… 4-0
Apr 06 Mara Su… v Tusker 1-1
Mar 28 Mara Su… v Mathare… 2-1
Mar 16 Mara Su… v Bidco U… 0-0
Head-to-Head (6)
Jun 15, 2025 Mara Sugar 0-0 Murang'a SEAL
Sep 29, 2024 Murang'a SEAL 1-1 Mara Sugar
May 28, 2023 Mara Sugar 0-0 Murang'a SEAL
Feb 04, 2023 Murang'a SEAL 3-0 Mara Sugar
Jun 13, 2022 Murang'a SEAL 3-1 Mara Sugar
Mar 06, 2022 Mara Sugar 1-2 Murang'a SEAL
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.