HKFA 1st Division · Dec 21, 2025 05:30
Citizen AA
PWR 26
Yuen Long
PWR 37
Citizen AA
PWR 26
1 - 2
FT
Yuen Long
PWR 37
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
Yuen Long Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
1-2 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
1-0 (7%)
2-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.0%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack56
Defense0
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G2.9
Attack39
Defense41
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.7
Citizen AA Form
LWLLL
STABLE
Yuen Long Form
WLLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.564%
BTTS66%
Under 2.536%
Citizen AA Goals
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Yuen Long Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.5
Over 3.546%
BTTS Yes67%
Home Clean Sheet15%
Away Clean Sheet21%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (9%)
1-2 (9%)
2-1 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
0-1 (6%)
0-2 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
Citizen AAvs
1.43
Yuen LongDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum68%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Citizen AA+3
Gap#13
Yuen Long
WR 20% 14 pts
WR 30% 11 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citizen AA | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 57 | 14 |
| Yuen Long | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 11 |
Citizen AA
4.0%
| Dec 07 | Citizen… v 3 Sing | 3-1 |
| Nov 30 | Citizen… v Lucky M… | 3-1 |
| Nov 23 | Citizen… v Central… | 0-7 |
| Nov 16 | Citizen… v Shatin | 4-0 |
| Nov 02 | Citizen… v Resourc… | 6-2 |
| Oct 26 | Citizen… v South C… | 0-3 |
| Oct 19 | Citizen… v Kwun To… | 1-1 |
| Oct 12 | Citizen… v Sham Sh… | 2-3 |
| Oct 05 | Citizen… v WSE | 4-0 |
| Sep 28 | Citizen… v Hoi King | 3-5 |
Yuen Long
8.0%
| Dec 07 | Yuen Lo… v Tung Si… | 2-0 |
| Nov 30 | Yuen Lo… v Metro G… | 3-2 |
| Nov 23 | Yuen Lo… v WSE | 4-0 |
| Nov 16 | Yuen Lo… v Lucky M… | 2-0 |
| Oct 26 | Yuen Lo… v Central… | 1-0 |
| Oct 19 | Yuen Lo… v South C… | 0-3 |
| Oct 12 | Yuen Lo… v Resourc… | 0-0 |
| Sep 28 | Yuen Lo… v Sham Sh… | 2-2 |
| Sep 21 | Yuen Lo… v Hoi King | 1-3 |
Key Factors
Citizen AA struggling (4L in last 5)
Yuen Long struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.