Super Cup · Jan 08, 2026 19:00
Real Madrid
PWR 49
Atlético Madrid
PWR 45
Real Madrid
PWR 49
1 - 2
FT
Atlético Madrid
PWR 45
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
Real Madrid Win
Prediction
4-2
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%)
3-1 (8%)
1-1 (7%)
2-0 (6%)
2-2 (6%)
3-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/9 draws (33%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.3%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack64
Defense75
Goals/G2.1
Conc/G0.8
Attack52
Defense77
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Real Madrid Form
WWWWL
UP
Atlético Madrid Form
DWWWW
STABLE
Key Players
Real Madrid
Kylian Mbappé
7.66G
Gonzalo GarcĂa
7.45G1A
Rodrygo
7.72G3A
Federico Valverde
7.41G3A
VinĂcius JĂşnior
7.32G1A
Atlético Madrid
Alexander Sørloth
6.94G
Antoine Griezmann
8.21G
Koke
7.72G
Giuliano Simeone
6.82A
Julián Alvarez
6.81A
Score & Markets
Over 2.570%
BTTS69%
Under 2.530%
Real Madrid Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Atlético Ma… Goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 8% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 80% | 21% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 4.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 5.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total4.2
Over 3.561%
BTTS Yes74%
Home Clean Sheet20%
Away Clean Sheet7%
Top Correct Scores:
2-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
3-2 (6%)
2-0 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.57
Real Madridvs
1.37
Atlético MadridDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum83%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#2
Real Madrid+1
Gap#3
Atlético Ma…
WR 57% 12 pts
WR 33% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 12 |
| Atlético Madrid | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
Real Madrid
16.0%
| Jan 04 | Real Ma… v Real Be… | 5-1 |
| Dec 20 | Real Ma… v Sevilla… | 2-0 |
| Dec 17 | Real Ma… v CF Tala… | 2-3 |
| Dec 14 | Real Ma… v Alavés | 1-2 |
| Dec 10 | Real Ma… v Manches… | 1-2 |
| Dec 07 | Real Ma… v Celta d… | 0-2 |
| Dec 03 | Real Ma… v Athleti… | 0-3 |
| Nov 30 | Real Ma… v Girona | 1-1 |
| Nov 26 | Real Ma… v Olympia… | 3-4 |
| Nov 23 | Real Ma… v Elche | 2-2 |
Atlético Madrid
18.0%
| Jan 04 | Atlétic… v Real So… | 1-1 |
| Dec 21 | Atlétic… v Girona | 0-3 |
| Dec 17 | Atlétic… v Atlétic… | 2-3 |
| Dec 13 | Atlétic… v Valencia | 2-1 |
| Dec 09 | Atlétic… v PSV Ein… | 2-3 |
| Dec 06 | Atlétic… v Athleti… | 1-0 |
| Dec 02 | Atlétic… v Barcelo… | 3-1 |
| Nov 29 | Atlétic… v Oviedo | 2-0 |
| Nov 26 | Atlétic… v Inter | 2-1 |
| Nov 23 | Atlétic… v Getafe | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Sep 27, 2025 | Atlético Madr… | 5-2 | Real Madrid |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Atlético Madr… | 1-0 | Real Madrid |
| Mar 04, 2025 | Real Madrid | 2-1 | Atlético Madr… |
| Feb 08, 2025 | Real Madrid | 1-1 | Atlético Madr… |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Atlético Madr… | 1-1 | Real Madrid |
| Feb 04, 2024 | Real Madrid | 1-1 | Atlético Madr… |
| Jan 18, 2024 | Atlético Madr… | 4-2 | Real Madrid |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Real Madrid | 5-3 | Atlético Madr… |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Atlético Madr… | 3-1 | Real Madrid |
Key Factors
Real Madrid in strong form (4W in last 5)
Atlético Madrid in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.