La Liga · Mar 04, 2026 18:00
Rayo Vallecano
PWR 49
Oviedo
PWR 25
Rayo Vallecano
PWR 49
2-1
predicted
Oviedo
PWR 25
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
Rayo Vallecano Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (6%)
2-0 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
3-2 (2%)
1-0 (2%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 58% at home = very high riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 83% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (30.0%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack68
Defense74
Goals/G2.3
Conc/G0.9
Attack16
Defense54
Goals/G0.5
Conc/G1.5
Rayo Vallecano Form
DDWLL
STABLE
Oviedo Form
LDLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS55%
Under 2.540%
Rayo Vallec… Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Oviedo Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 4.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.1
Over 3.537%
BTTS Yes54%
Home Clean Sheet39%
Away Clean Sheet12%
Top Correct Scores:
2-0 (11%)
2-1 (10%)
1-0 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.48
Rayo Vallecanovs
0.81
OviedoDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings63%
Market50%
League Standings
#15
Rayo Vallec…+5
Gap#20
Oviedo
WR 25% 27 pts
WR 8% 17 pts
Rayo Vallecano
8.0%
| Feb 28 | Rayo Va… v Athleti… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Rayo Va… v Real Be… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Rayo Va… v Atlétic… | 3-0 |
| Feb 01 | Rayo Va… v Real Ma… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Rayo Va… v Osasuna | 1-3 |
| Jan 18 | Rayo Va… v Celta d… | 3-0 |
| Jan 14 | Rayo Va… v Alavés | 2-0 |
| Jan 11 | Rayo Va… v Mallorca | 2-1 |
| Jan 06 | Rayo Va… v Granada… | 1-3 |
| Jan 02 | Rayo Va… v Getafe | 1-1 |
Oviedo
6.0%
| Feb 28 | Oviedo v Atlétic… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Oviedo v Real So… | 3-3 |
| Feb 15 | Oviedo v Athleti… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Oviedo v Girona | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Oviedo v Barcelo… | 3-0 |
| Jan 17 | Oviedo v Osasuna | 3-2 |
| Jan 10 | Oviedo v Real Be… | 1-1 |
| Jan 04 | Oviedo v Alavés | 1-1 |
| Dec 20 | Oviedo v Celta d… | 0-0 |
| Dec 14 | Oviedo v Sevilla… | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Nov 23, 2025 | Oviedo | 0-0 | Rayo Vallecano |
| May 20, 2021 | Rayo Vallecano | 4-1 | Oviedo |
Key Factors
Oviedo struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.