Mato-Grossense Second Division · Jul 31, 2025 20:00
Operário-PR
PWR 29
Chapada
PWR 67
PWR 67
1 - 0
FT
Operário-PR
PWR 29
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
Chapada Win
Prediction
2-0
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (22%)
2-0 (18%)
0-0 (13%)
3-0 (10%)
1-1 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.0%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack47
Defense88
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G0.3
Attack18
Defense65
Goals/G0.5
Conc/G1.0
Chapada Form
DW
STABLE
Operário-PR Form
DDWDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.533%
BTTS25%
Under 2.567%
Chapada Goals
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Operário-PR Goals
0
69%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 3.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.4
Over 3.522%
BTTS Yes49%
Home Clean Sheet34%
Away Clean Sheet27%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (13%)
1-0 (12%)
0-1 (10%)
0-0 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
2-0 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Chapadavs
0.37
Operário-PRDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum85%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Chapada+1
Gap#2
Operário-PR
WR 67% 7 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapada | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| Operário-PR | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Chapada
15.0%
| Jul 24 | Chapada v Operári… | 1-1 |
| Jul 19 | Chapada v Chapeco… | 0-2 |
Operário-PR
12.0%
| Jul 26 | Operári… v Ferrovi… | 0-0 |
| Jul 24 | Operári… v Chapada | 1-1 |
| Jul 22 | Operári… v Athleti… | 3-0 |
| Jul 17 | Operári… v CRB | 1-1 |
| Jul 11 | Operári… v Vila No… | 0-0 |
| Jul 07 | Operári… v Chapeco… | 1-2 |
| Jun 29 | Operári… v Volta R… | 1-0 |
| Jun 23 | Operári… v Novoriz… | 2-0 |
| Jun 14 | Operári… v Athleti… | 2-1 |
| Jun 08 | Operári… v Remo | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jul 24, 2025 | Operário-PR | 1-1 | Chapada |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.