League Cup · Feb 03, 2026 20:00
Arsenal
PWR 48
Chelsea
PWR 42
Arsenal
PWR 48
1 - 0
FT
Chelsea
PWR 42
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (53% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
53%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-2 (6%)
2-2 (5%)
3-3 (5%)
3-1 (5%)
2-3 (4%)
2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League Cup
Power & Form
Attack58
Defense79
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G0.7
Attack53
Defense66
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G1.1
Arsenal Form
WWLWD
STABLE
Chelsea Form
WLWWL
STABLE
Key Players
Arsenal
Gabriel Martinelli
7.53G
Viktor Gyökeres
6.72G1A
Declan Rice
7.52A
Noni Madueke
6.73A
MartĂn Zubimendi
7.22G
Chelsea
Enzo Fernández
7.53G1A
Facundo Buonanotte
7.71A
JoĂŁo Pedro
6.82G
EstĂŞvĂŁo
6.71G1A
Marc Guiu
6.71G1A
Score & Markets
Over 2.578%
BTTS88%
Under 2.522%
Arsenal Goals
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Chelsea Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
26%
3
22%
4
14%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 8% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 80% | 21% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 4.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 5.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total4.2
Over 3.561%
BTTS Yes68%
Home Clean Sheet29%
Away Clean Sheet5%
Top Correct Scores:
2-1 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
2-0 (6%)
3-0 (6%)
4-1 (6%)
1-1 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.21
Arsenalvs
2.52
ChelseaDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum70%
Standings50%
Market60%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Arsenal-1
Gap#3
Chelsea
WR 86% 19 pts
WR 46% 20 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 19 |
| Chelsea | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 20 |
Arsenal
14.0%
| Jan 31 | Arsenal v Leeds | 0-4 |
| Jan 28 | Arsenal v Kairat … | 3-2 |
| Jan 25 | Arsenal v Manches… | 2-3 |
| Jan 20 | Arsenal v Inter M… | 1-3 |
| Jan 17 | Arsenal v Notting… | 0-0 |
| Jan 14 | Arsenal v Chelsea | 2-3 |
| Jan 11 | Arsenal v Portsmo… | 1-4 |
| Jan 08 | Arsenal v Liverpo… | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | Arsenal v Bournem… | 2-3 |
| Dec 30 | Arsenal v Aston V… | 4-1 |
Chelsea
12.0%
| Jan 31 | Chelsea v West Br… | 3-2 |
| Jan 31 | Chelsea v Accring… | 3-1 |
| Jan 28 | Chelsea v Napoli | 2-3 |
| Jan 25 | Chelsea v Crystal… | 1-3 |
| Jan 24 | Chelsea v Grimsby | 0-2 |
| Jan 21 | Chelsea v Pafos FC | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | Chelsea v Oldham | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Chelsea v Brentfo… | 2-0 |
| Jan 14 | Chelsea v Arsenal | 2-3 |
| Jan 10 | Chelsea v Charlton | 1-5 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Jan 14, 2026 | Chelsea | 2-3 | Arsenal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Chelsea | 1-1 | Arsenal |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Arsenal | 1-0 | Chelsea |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Chelsea | 1-1 | Arsenal |
| Apr 23, 2024 | Arsenal | 5-0 | Chelsea |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Chelsea | 2-2 | Arsenal |
| May 02, 2023 | Arsenal | 3-1 | Chelsea |
| Nov 06, 2022 | Chelsea | 0-1 | Arsenal |
| Jul 24, 2022 | Arsenal | 4-0 | Chelsea |
Key Factors
Arsenal in strong form (3W in last 5)
Chelsea in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.