League Cup · Jan 14, 2026 20:00

Chelsea
PWR 42
2 - 3
FT

Arsenal
PWR 48
33% H 27% D 40% A
Final Verdict
PRO: Chelsea to win (71% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
71%
Confidence
PRO
Match Analyzer PRO
Most Likely Scores:
1-2 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 0-2 (8%) 1-3 (7%) 0-1 (7%) 0-3 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 2-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League Cup
Power & Form
Attack53
Defense66
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G1.1
Attack58
Defense79
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G0.7
Chelsea Form WLLDW
STABLE
Arsenal Form WDWWW
STABLE
Key Players
Chelsea
Enzo Fernández 7.54G1A
João Pedro 7.14G
Facundo Buonanotte 7.32A
Cole Palmer 6.92G
Reece James 7.41G1A
Arsenal
Declan Rice 7.72G2A
Gabriel Martinelli 7.43G
Viktor Gyökeres 6.53G1A
Martín Zubimendi 7.23G
Martin Ødegaard 7.11G2A
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS63%
Under 2.535%
Chelsea Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Arsenal Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 98% 2% OVER
1.5 90% 10% OVER
2.5 75% 25% OVER
3.5 55% 45% -
4.5 36% 64% -
5.5 20% 80% UNDER
6.5 10% 90% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total3.9
Over 3.555%
BTTS Yes73%
Home Clean Sheet10%
Away Clean Sheet19%
Top Correct Scores:
1-2 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 1-3 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 2-3 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Chelsea
vs
2.33
Arsenal
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings50%
Market35%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Chelsea
+1
Gap
#4
Arsenal
WR 46% 20 pts WR 86% 19 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Chelsea13625191820
Arsenal761016419
Chelsea 10.0%
Jan 10 Chelsea v Charlton 1-5
Jan 10 Chelsea v Leicest… 0-2
Jan 07 Chelsea v Fulham 2-1
Jan 04 Chelsea v Manches… 1-1
Jan 04 Chelsea v Crawley… 3-0
Jan 01 Chelsea v Crewe 4-1
Dec 30 Chelsea v Bournem… 2-2
Dec 29 Chelsea v Swindon 0-2
Dec 27 Chelsea v Aston V… 1-2
Dec 26 Chelsea v Shrewsb… 3-1
Arsenal 18.0%
Jan 11 Arsenal v Portsmo… 1-4
Jan 08 Arsenal v Liverpo… 0-0
Jan 03 Arsenal v Bournem… 2-3
Dec 30 Arsenal v Aston V… 4-1
Dec 27 Arsenal v Brighto… 2-1
Dec 20 Arsenal v Everton 0-1
Dec 13 Arsenal v Wolverh… 2-1
Dec 10 Arsenal v Club Br… 0-3
Dec 06 Arsenal v Aston V… 2-1
Dec 03 Arsenal v Brentfo… 2-0
Head-to-Head (8)
Nov 30, 2025 Chelsea 1-1 Arsenal
Mar 16, 2025 Arsenal 1-0 Chelsea
Nov 10, 2024 Chelsea 1-1 Arsenal
Apr 23, 2024 Arsenal 5-0 Chelsea
Oct 21, 2023 Chelsea 2-2 Arsenal
May 02, 2023 Arsenal 3-1 Chelsea
Nov 06, 2022 Chelsea 0-1 Arsenal
Jul 24, 2022 Arsenal 4-0 Chelsea
Key Factors
Arsenal in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.