Super Cup · Aug 09, 2023 19:45
Benfica
PWR 83
FC Porto
PWR 63
Benfica
PWR 83
2 - 0
FT
FC Porto
PWR 63
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
FC Porto Win
Prediction
2-2
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%)
0-0 (14%)
2-0 (12%)
1-1 (12%)
0-1 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.5%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack53
Defense100
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.0
Attack82
Defense42
Goals/G2.3
Conc/G1.7
Benfica Form
LDWWW
STABLE
FC Porto Form
WDWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.531%
BTTS35%
Under 2.569%
Benfica Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
FC Porto Goals
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.6
Over 3.527%
BTTS Yes52%
Home Clean Sheet33%
Away Clean Sheet23%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (12%)
1-0 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
0-1 (8%)
2-0 (8%)
0-0 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Benficavs
0.64
FC PortoDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum70%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Benfica+1
Gap#2
FC Porto
WR 100% 6 pts
WR 67% 6 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| FC Porto | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
Benfica
14.0%
| May 27 | Benfica v FC Porto | 3-1 |
| May 21 | Benfica v Sportin… | 2-2 |
| May 06 | Benfica v SC Braga | 1-0 |
| Apr 30 | Benfica v Penafie… | 0-3 |
| Apr 29 | Benfica v GIL Vic… | 0-2 |
| Apr 23 | Benfica v Estoril | 1-0 |
| Apr 07 | Benfica v FC Porto | 1-2 |
| Apr 02 | Benfica v Rio Ave… | 0-1 |
| Mar 26 | Benfica v Sportin… | 0-1 |
| Mar 19 | Benfica v Moreire… | 2-0 |
FC Porto
18.0%
| Jul 26 | FC Porto v Rubin | 1-0 |
| Jul 26 | FC Porto v Estrela… | 3-3 |
| May 27 | FC Porto v Benfica | 3-1 |
| May 27 | FC Porto v Guimara… | 3-0 |
| May 20 | FC Porto v Famalic… | 2-4 |
| May 14 | FC Porto v Casa Pi… | 2-1 |
| May 14 | FC Porto v Académi… | 3-1 |
| May 08 | FC Porto v Arouca | 0-1 |
| May 07 | FC Porto v Farense | 2-0 |
| May 04 | FC Porto v Famalic… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| May 27, 2023 | FC Porto | 3-1 | Benfica |
| Apr 07, 2023 | Benfica | 1-2 | FC Porto |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Benfica | 2-2 | FC Porto |
| Oct 21, 2022 | FC Porto | 0-1 | Benfica |
| May 13, 2022 | FC Porto | 2-3 | Benfica |
| May 07, 2022 | Benfica | 0-1 | FC Porto |
| Jan 10, 2022 | Benfica | 1-2 | FC Porto |
| Dec 30, 2021 | FC Porto | 3-1 | Benfica |
| May 22, 2021 | Benfica | 2-1 | FC Porto |
| Jan 25, 2021 | FC Porto | 1-1 | Benfica |
Key Factors
Benfica in strong form (3W in last 5)
FC Porto in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.