Africa Cup of Nations · Jan 14, 2026 17:00
Arsenal
PWR 21
Egypt
PWR 35
Arsenal
PWR 21
1 - 0
FT
Egypt
PWR 35
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
Arsenal Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (13%)
2-0 (9%)
1-0 (4%)
3-1 (3%)
2-1 (2%)
1-1 (1%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.0%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack20
Defense40
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G2.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Arsenal Form
WWWDD
UP
Egypt Form
WWWWW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.556%
BTTS22%
Under 2.544%
Arsenal Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Egypt Goals
0
78%
1
20%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 2.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.9
Over 3.513%
BTTS Yes37%
Home Clean Sheet44%
Away Clean Sheet33%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (16%)
0-0 (15%)
1-1 (13%)
0-1 (12%)
2-0 (9%)
2-1 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Arsenalvs
0.25
EgyptDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market51%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Arsenal+1
Gap#4
Egypt
WR 63% 18 pts
WR 44% 15 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
| Egypt | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
Arsenal
16.0%
| Jan 09 | Arsenal v Mali | 0-1 |
| Jan 03 | Arsenal v Sudan | 3-1 |
| Dec 30 | Arsenal v Hiberni… | 0-3 |
| Dec 27 | Arsenal v Congo DR | 1-1 |
| Dec 23 | Arsenal v Crystal… | 1-1 |
| Dec 23 | Arsenal v Botswana | 3-0 |
| Nov 29 | Arsenal v Naftan | 2-0 |
| Nov 22 | Arsenal v FC Slut… | 2-1 |
| Nov 18 | Arsenal v Kenya | 8-0 |
| Nov 15 | Arsenal v Brazil … | 2-0 |
Egypt
20.0%
| Jan 10 | Egypt v Ivory C… | 3-2 |
| Jan 05 | Egypt v Hiberni… | 3-1 |
| Dec 26 | Egypt v South A… | 1-0 |
| Dec 22 | Egypt v Zimbabwe | 2-1 |
| Dec 16 | Egypt v Algeria | 2-1 |
| Dec 09 | Egypt v Jordan | 0-3 |
| Dec 06 | Egypt v United … | 1-1 |
| Dec 02 | Egypt v Al Kuwa… | 1-1 |
| Nov 17 | Egypt v Cape Ve… | 1-1 |
| Nov 14 | Egypt v Uzbekis… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Mar 29, 2022 | Arsenal | 1-0 | Egypt |
| Mar 25, 2022 | Egypt | 1-0 | Arsenal |
| Feb 06, 2022 | Arsenal | 0-0 | Egypt |
Key Factors
Arsenal in strong form (3W in last 5)
Egypt in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.