Copa EspĂrito Santo · Jul 26, 2025 18:00
Vitoria
PWR 60
Vitoria
PWR 60
2 - 0
FT
Real Noroeste
PWR 44
PWR 44
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
Vitoria Win
Prediction
2-2
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (15%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (11%)
0-0 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
0-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 2-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.4%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack59
Defense65
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Attack54
Defense42
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
Vitoria Form
DWDDD
STABLE
Real Noroeste Form
DWLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.539%
BTTS42%
Under 2.561%
Vitoria Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Real Noroes… Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.8
Over 3.530%
BTTS Yes41%
Home Clean Sheet54%
Away Clean Sheet12%
Top Correct Scores:
2-0 (15%)
1-0 (14%)
3-0 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
3-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Vitoriavs
0.80
Real NoroesteDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Vitoria+2
Gap#5
Real Noroes…
WR 55% 42 pts
WR 33% 21 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 22 | 42 |
| Real Noroeste | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | 21 |
Vitoria
12.0%
| Jul 24 | Vitoria v Sport R… | 2-2 |
| Jul 20 | Vitoria v RB Brag… | 1-0 |
| Jul 19 | Vitoria v Real No… | 0-0 |
| Jul 17 | Vitoria v Botafogo | 0-0 |
| Jul 12 | Vitoria v Vilavel… | 1-1 |
| Jul 12 | Vitoria v Interna… | 1-0 |
| Jul 07 | Vitoria v Vilavel… | 0-3 |
| Jun 21 | Vitoria v Porto V… | 2-1 |
| Jun 14 | Vitoria v Rio Bra… | 2-1 |
| Jun 12 | Vitoria v Cruzeiro | 0-0 |
Real Noroeste
10.0%
| Jul 19 | Real No… v Vitoria | 0-0 |
| Jul 14 | Real No… v Capixab… | 3-1 |
| Jul 06 | Real No… v Capixab… | 1-0 |
| Jun 25 | Real No… v Serra T… | 3-4 |
| Jun 18 | Real No… v Rio Bra… | 2-3 |
| May 25 | Real No… v Rio Bra… | 0-2 |
| May 17 | Real No… v Vilavel… | 1-0 |
| May 07 | Real No… v Porto V… | 1-1 |
| Apr 26 | Real No… v Vitoria | 2-1 |
| Apr 19 | Real No… v Desport… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Jul 19, 2025 | Real Noroeste | 0-0 | Vitoria |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Vitoria | 2-1 | Real Noroeste |
| Feb 01, 2025 | Vitoria | 1-2 | Real Noroeste |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Vitoria | 1-0 | Real Noroeste |
| Jul 03, 2024 | Real Noroeste | 1-2 | Vitoria |
| May 25, 2024 | Real Noroeste | 4-4 | Vitoria |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Real Noroeste | 2-4 | Vitoria |
| Mar 11, 2024 | Vitoria | 3-1 | Real Noroeste |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Vitoria | 2-3 | Real Noroeste |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.